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Europe Braces for Chaos

Tuesday, May 25, 2010 – by Staff Report

Europe's deflation torture is a gift to the Far Left ... If Europe's ultra-Left has so far reaped little dividend from the great "Crisis of Capitalism", this will surely change as the eurozone's 1930s policies of wage deflation sap the credibility of the governing centre and the EU itself. ... As historian Simon Schama wrote over the weekend in the Financial Times, "The world teeters on the brink of a new age of rage: we face a tinderbox moment" ... There is typically a lag-time between economic shocks and social fury. Luckily there is no Fascist threat this time. It is the (more benign) Marxist Left that stands to gain. – UK Telegraph

Dominant Social Theme: Europe will struggle through austerity by pulling together, even if it drifts left ...

Free-Market Analysis: For several years now, we've been covering the power elite's dominant social theme as regards the European Union. And what is that? It seems to be ... "Only regional and even global governance can prevent another world war (or at least pan-European war) from happening." Of course not only do we not believe it, we've indicated many times that the crazed bureaucrats of the EU are actually setting up a system guaranteed to heighten the very tensions they purport to downplay.

Europe is an old continent in terms of human habitation. The very first fully human incursions, according to the Bradshaw Foundation were supplemented some 20,000 years ago by Cro-Magnon migrations, from which modern Europe was eventually born. It is true that first Roman power and then (Carolus Magnus) Charlemagne on behalf of the Holy Roman Empire pulled together Europe's fractious tribes, but neither of these interregnums proved the norm. Europe has always been fractured, by language, by race, by culture, even by climate.

Enter the ludicrous EU experiment and its false message of cheery unity. "The European Union is peace," says French President Nicolas Sarkozy. This is the initial fear-based promotion that launched a thousand votes and re-votes and inevitably has enabled the endless corruption of the EU and the creation of a smug, pan-European political order that at its top level is not answerable to European citizens. This too-clever body of Euro-crats welcomed Greece, Portugal, Spain and Italy (and numerous other countries) knowing full well that it was creating a great regional divide that could only be fixed, eventually, by desperate and risky actions to create a political union that currently does not exist.

What right did this tiny elite group have to play with hundreds of millions of lives in order to realize their misguided and impractical goal of melding Europe together into one regional lump – apparently to serve as a stepping-stone for world government? Those who did the deed were quite aware of the unworkability of the EU. And they were quite prepared, nonetheless, to risk all for ... what? For personal aggrandizement and to generate the increased wealth and control that sociopolitical and physical consolidation can yield. And yet what need is there for EU-style regionalism with all its fascistic faux-cheer that masks a vision of the future, as George Orwell wrote, "of a boot stamping on a human face – forever."

And now ... "austerity." The masses of Europe, having been promised a brighter and more prosperous future under the benevolent regime of the EU are faced with years, perhaps decades, of what amounts to institutionalized poverty in which all the bright promises of security, early retirements and lazy living will be stripped away. Only the wretched, mercantilist banks of Europe and America will win, if it come to this. And it was all so unnecessary – as are so many of the results of the crazed power elite agenda.

Unleash the hounds of havoc; let chaos rein; do anything and everything to befuddle, bemuse and eventually bankrupt the masses in pursuit of some loony vision of global governance. Those who engineered the EU knew quite well, almost from the beginning, what they wrought. It is as dispiriting as it is predictable. Above, we quoted an article from the UK Telegraph on the emergent leftist political possibilities generated by the EU crisis, but there is another article in the same edition (by columnist Boris Johnson) that catalogues just how obvious the eventual unraveling was that has brought the EU to this point. Here is an excerpt:

On and on ... EU countries went with their plan, and I was there at virtually every stage. I remember when they decided it had to be called the euro, because Helmut Kohl thought "ecu" sounded too much like the German word for cow. I remember when they decided the Eurobank had to be located in Frankfurt, and all the while we sceptics offered sheeplike coughs of dissent. You can't just control interest rates, we said. What about tax? What about spending? How, we asked, can you have a single monetary policy while you let a very diverse bunch of economies continue to run independent fiscal policies? How, bluntly, can you jam northern and southern Europe together? How can we expect Germany to be part of an effective currency union with Greece?

And all our objections were brushed aside. The process was unstoppable, we were told. It was as natural and ineluctable, said Helmut Kohl, as the flow of the Rhine. It was history, they said; and for the first few years it must be admitted that our fears seemed unfounded. The euro seemed to hang together pretty well. It was a handy thing for travellers.

It was only when the financial crisis came along in 2008 that we suddenly saw that the Greeks had been doing exactly what we said they would do. With the help of some smart bankers, they had massaged their debt figures to qualify for the euro, and then they had used the low interest rates of the eurozone to hitch a giant free ride. They'd been paying themselves far more than they earned. They had been racking up huge debts. They were rumbled, and, according to Angela Merkel herself, the euro is in danger of collapse as a direct result of their bad behaviour.

European governments have stumped up for a colossal 750 billion euro (£650 billion) fund to guarantee the debts of southern Europe – and still the markets are not satisfied. The crowds regularly seem to be rioting in Athens in response to the programme of cuts, and there is a general mood of panic reminiscent of 1992, and the destruction of the Exchange Rate Mechanism. The Germans have actually tried to ban short-selling, and everyone is wondering who will be the next target. Portugal? Spain? Italy?

Indeed, what now? Is the predictable and necessary crisis ultimately controllable? Did the Euro-crats and their power elite masters make plans for the Internet itself and the seriousness of the economic tsunami that has engulfed the continent? Maybe not. The Internet has made framing of the crisis most difficult for the powers-that-be. Meanwhile, the depth of the crisis has meant that proposed solutions may be well nigh intolerable, given what people understand of the true causes of the crisis.

And ... yes, we have always suspected as much. We wrote of the fractious tribes of Europe and the impossibility of Germany dictating to all of them just because the German economy is currently the biggest and strongest. The idea that Greece, Portugal, Spain or Poland would willingly follow Germany's lead in terms of inflicting increasing financial pain on their citizens for myriad years in pursuit of a Euro-Chimera always struck us highly questionable. Now it appears, from what we have read, that even the Germans don't want it. Empire is a preoccupation of the political class, not of modern German businesspeople.

It seems to us that the tension between various countries, their governments and Euro-crats themselves will only grow as harsh austerity measures are inflicted and the reality of sacrifices becomes clear. This goes for both North and South. The South has been profligate and must pay the price; but the North will be asked to pay, as well, for the crazy cause of keeping the EU together – a political entity that did not even exist in its current form three years ago.

The tensions within the EU will likely manifest themselves in an upswelling of support for various radical socialist and communist groups – and thus will foment political solutions that are likely even worse than those in place today. And while we don't necessarily anticipate a break-up of the EU (though we think it increasingly likely) any such entropy is bound to be profoundly messy and painful – not necessarily for those leading the EU or standing behind it, but for average citizens caught in its wake.

For investors, large and small, the EU crisis is likely to prove incredibly frustrating. The uncertainty over the EU will likely go on and on, and affect most every form of investment – from stocks, to bonds to derivatives. It may even, as we have mentioned before, spell the end of the globalized fiat-money system and usher in some form of asset-backed (gold or silver) money. We would predict, however, if it does, that the power elite will have a tough time controlling events using the traditional methods of promotional, fear-based themes.

This is a new era. Much that worked well for the elite in the 20th century is not working nearly so well in the 21st. We are also aware that a final option in the elite playbook is war – domestic wars, regional wars and international war. War will further change the financial and investing scene, but it will not likely have the impact on elite fortunes that is hoped for. Yes, even war, in our opinion, will not grant the elite a respite from the chaos that has been unleashed or resuscitate the kind of seamless power it enjoyed in the 20th century when it controlled the means and methodologies of communication.

Conclusion: We are aware that many in the alternative news community may believe that what is happening to the EU in its fullness has been planned for. And certainly what is taking place was obviously foreseen – but NOT the depths of the potential chaos, nor the depth of the anger of people involved who are losing so much after having been promised so much, nor the difficulty in controlling the messaging that was, in turn, supposed to control the outcome.




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  Posted by Peteris on 05/28/10 03:35 AM

As Bernard Lietaer noted, gold and silver money make possible the interest extraction when lending, because to the lender it costs almost nothing to keep his money under the pillow. The one who needs money for trade, needs it more than the owner of money. Thus, the lender is able to charge interest, and the borrower has to pay if he wants to use the money.

Gold and silver money by its nature concentrates wealth, because the one who has the most of it, can always make more without significant effort, simply by lending and charging interest.

Gold and silver as money really do not solve the problems of inequality and do not guarantee people to be paid according to their usefulness to society.

What we really need, is to create money simultaneously with the creation of value, and destruct it when value is destructed or consumed, and this system has to be self-regulatory.
Bernard Lietaer has written extensively on this subject: Click to view link

  Posted by Cj Coates on 05/28/10 01:45 AM

@ confederateH ...

I will read your suggested article at zerohedge.

  Posted by F. Beard on 05/26/10 02:02 PM

Sorry, Jethro Skull was too dark for me. I preferred to be innocent when young. And its not a bad idea for my old age either.

  Posted by Weeble on 05/26/10 11:18 AM

Sorry, make that "downy little sidies" - just listened to it again.

  Posted by Weeble on 05/26/10 10:34 AM

Or is it their "dowty little sidies" slipping?
Thick As A Brick - Jethro Tull (Ian Anderson).

  Posted by Weeble on 05/26/10 09:04 AM

It is ironic that the bible is about freedom, and the church is about control. Isn't it? Well the church lost that in the 60s. When will the government lose theirs? Oh, I see the top hat slipping!

  Posted by F. Beard on 05/26/10 08:25 AM

"Men cannot wear hats in church, but women must wear hats. (I am trying to figure that one out myself)." Weeble

Maybe to keep us humble; men cannot hide their bald heads and women cannot show off their beautiful hair.

  Posted by Weeble on 05/26/10 08:13 AM

"The root cause of OUR woes is OUR tolerance of barbarians, those who use force and fraud (and their dependent slaves) to achieve their goals." - Bill Ross

The barbarians will always be at the gate. Having a rear exit is far more desirable than defending the main gate. You get to fight a battle you can win.later.

Some trusting souls think there is no gate; no barbarians.

The internet is the rear gate, just a spider web criss-crossing the opening. It is extremely dense, but easy to get through; in a pinch.

  Posted by Weeble on 05/26/10 07:44 AM

"We're just brain storming or at least I am. If we can figure out how to do money properly then it might put off the End for a few generations. And there would be some satisfaction, even if ignored, in knowing that there WAS a solution." F.Beard.

I like your world.

It all begins with real tangible money. Simple transactions lead to more complex transactions. If you want to sell something more than someone wants to buy it, then you may sell it "on time". Then, I "hope" that "faith" does not led to charity.

Keep up the religious parallels, as they add, rather than detract from the conversation. Men cannot wear hats in church, but women must wear hats. (I am trying to figure that one out myself).

  Posted by Weeble on 05/26/10 07:16 AM

'Bringing in religious text and commentary on this issue is not only counter-productive; it also embarrassingly displays a lack of intelligence and seriousness on the issue. Reality exists apart from our beliefs. Recognizing that is a essential sign of maturity." - Clayton.

I hope you were not talking about me. I do not live and breathe religion, but I find religion to be entertaining, as there is a plethora of parallels to economics and human action within the ancient text. Take 666 for example. Using a 1-9 scale on the left (zero was not used; it was a stroke, or cipher), and you line up the alphabet on the right (a=1, b=2 / f=6, etc.), you will notice that 666=FOX. I think that is humorous. Then you dig deeper and find that 666 was a more modern translation, and it was never in the original text in Hebrew. Therefore, someone came up with 666 in "modern" religion. This means it is all generally re-hashed bull****, so it is all good. Everybody likes to add their 2 cents worth. The FOX runs the henhouse.

Hanging on to dear life with the store of money you have generated is always desired. But, when Caesar asks for his coins back (hyperinflation, taxes, laws, barrel of a gun) you have to give it to him or you die. History is rife with people who were previously rich, were ripped off and died poor.

I, myself, am not intelligent or serious, so thanks for the compliment, if it was directed at me. I was born naked and penniless, and currently have a net worth of over $1 million, so I am doing something right. If Caesar took it back, I would revel in the fact that my inner resourcefulness is the true "holy grail" that Caesar missed when his minions raided me. They miss it because it is not tangible, and I laugh.

Reality is perception (belief). I personally think every last one of us is deluded like the Man of LaMancha. We all live in our own little world. Communication crosses the bridge from one world to another, and my world is always learning about other worlds.

With respect to your excellent knowledge of time preference, I read the Bastiat collection from cover to cover and found he ended his life the same way it started; pissed off at the world. Is that what you desire in learning about economics to the sub-atomic level?

But if you were talking about someone else, then please disregard the above. It's all good in this life.

  Posted by Bill Ross on 05/26/10 07:09 AM

Regarding Weeble's basic point that we are all singing in disharmony.

This is a product of division of perception which is a product of the fact we live is diverse environments, with different experiences. Thus, we have various opinions re3garding what the root cause of our woes is. Sure, fiat currency and usury is a major component of our woes, BUT!

Fiat / usury is a just a manifestation of one combination of force and fraud, a criminal assault on the productive (the civilized - those who freely trade by mutual consent to mutual benefit).

The root cause of OUR woes is OUR tolerance of barbarians, those who use force and fraud (and their dependent slaves) to achieve their goals.

On present course, fiat currency and regulatory democracy may become extinct, just to be replaced by another fraud. Beware...

  Posted by F. Beard on 05/26/10 06:50 AM

"Civilization is dependent upon lending at interest. Additionally, Civilization cannot last if there is not a minimization of fraud." Clayton

So you say. Let's have liberty in money creation and we will see. Furthermore, speaking of fraud, under money-for-debt, the principle for loans is created but NOT the interest. Therefore some defaults are built into the process. Rat A can only obtain the interest for his loan out of the principle of Rat B.

"Bringing in religious text and commentary on this issue is not only counter-productive, it also embarrassingly displays a lack of intelligence and seriousness on the issue. Reality exists apart from our beliefs. Recognizing that is a essential sign of maturity. " Clayton

Beliefs are by definition what we consider reality to be. Thus, as far as we are concerned they do correspond to reality. Of course we don't know everything and some of our beliefs may be in error so humility is an absolute necessity:

"Heed instruction and be wise,
And do not neglect it.
Blessed is the man who listens to me,
Watching daily at my gates,
Waiting at my doorposts.
For he who finds me finds life
And obtains favor from the LORD.
But he who sins against me injures himself;
All those who hate me love death." ' Proverbs 8:33-36

  Posted by Clayton on 05/26/10 03:17 AM

To put it simply, interest is the quantified value of the difference a person has in desiring something now over something in the future. It is a measure of urgency. To the extent to which I have a high value to have something now versus then, I will demand a premium to forgo it in the moment and delay my gratification until later. The subjectively rated risk of return is a part of this premium. Generally no harm attends such a contract and exchange.

Bringing in religious text and commentary on this issue is not only counter-productive, it also embarrassingly displays a lack of intelligence and seriousness on the issue. Reality exists apart from our beliefs. Recognizing that is a essential sign of maturity.

Fraud occurs when the lender, the one foregoing immediate satisfaction, lends under terms that they know cannot be fulfilled and will lead the borrower to ruin. It is this act of fraud, knowing the lack of capacity of the other party to a contract to fulfill the terms of the contract, that makes that contract void and unenforceable. This particular fraud is what lies at the basis of the crime of usury, not the simple act of placing a monetary value on Time Preference differences.

There is now a clear understanding that the lender must beware. This puts a burden of proof on Capital. The interference into this process for political purposes by the government has obscured these simple facts.

Generally, money flows from those with a lower Time Preference to those with a higher one. This mostly favors those with the lower Time Preference by providing them with funds at a rate lower than it otherwise would have been had the opposite condition prevailed. Age is also a factor.

Finally, without the surplus pool of funding, the complex productive system we enjoy today would be impossible. But this pool must be allocated. That implies the necessity for a means to make this allocation. In a free market system, price is the allocator. The price of money is known as interest. Without interest, there would be no rational basis for allocation and this would lead to the collapse of the Pool of Funding. Since maintenance of the capital structure depends on the Pool of Funding, the capital (infra)structure would collapse soon afterwards.

Civilization is dependent upon lending at interest. Additionally, Civilization cannot last if there is not a minimization of fraud.

  Posted by AmanfromMars on 05/26/10 02:32 AM

"The Internet is leading a revolution away from the paradigm of regulatory democracy. History does not seem, in this time of the world's second major, modern, communications revolution (the advent of the Internet), to be, necessarily, on the side of the elites." .... Daily Bell

Good Morning, Daily Bell,

I concur and would suggest that you can very realistically expect at least two convergences to a Singularity and Mutually Beneficial Arrangement with regard to that revolution. Internet leaders/virtual controllers assisting moneyed elites [and there are any number of them in quite diverse fields of endeavour, naturally competing against each other, to help] to retain their powers remotely, for the alternative when such an offer, which is always there in the room, hanging as the magic apple fruit, ripe and juicy for natural harvesting and personal shared enjoyment, is not taken up or sought out, is for those existent Power Elites to lose their control and controls completely, and run the gauntlet and suffer the wrath of wwwidely informed and incensed mobs, who will be remotely directed to them so that they can experience what will most likely be ...... a Ceausescuan Fall from Grace.

And surely even the slowest witted of beings in the rank and file of elites would wish to avoid that dead certainty at whatever the cost, which whenever one is perceived as being in control of banking and monetised systems, is really avoided virtually at no cost, even should such guaranteed protection be provided at an agreed considerable notional cost by a competent third party for significant others.

And whereas in the Past, history may have had a tendency to repeat itself and present a mirror image of earlier similar events in a Present context, the Post Modern Future which allows all Knowledge available for Greater Intelligence, and which the Internet so easily delivers, will effortlessly assist Elitist Controllers in Presenting the a Future with Media and IT which builds on a Virgin Imagination Shared to Create something and everything completely different and Virtually Unique to be chronicled and heralded as a New Beginning and ........ Second Coming? ....... which is a Suitably Crazy Bet on a Novel Hedge for Innovative Shorting in Long Derivative Positions, Virtually Assured by Rapidly Advancing Meme Systems.

There are certainly extremely interesting times ahead with opportunities only bounded by one's imagination and lack of expertise in application sharing.

  Posted by Gordon Gray on 05/26/10 01:37 AM

An excellent article. I have long held the view that the EU is a fraud and the Euro a farce I also believe that the EU will implode within the next decade hopefully the sooner the better.

  Posted by TradeN on 05/25/10 11:52 PM

Marla Singer, at the blog Click to view link, concludes in her piece today,

"The SNB could, theoretically, fight a panic run on the Euro of any size, provided it was willing to endure the pain a full-fledged Bernanke style printing program would later create. It seems, however, that the SNB might recognize the damage created by single handedly fighting off market sentiment on the likelihood of a rag-tag parliament of European leaders pulling the Euro together when at least a third of the seats are commanded by the Club Med nations is simply not worth it. Still, a few interventions here and there (and increasingly after hours) might at least slow the speed of descent.

Or not."

MORE:
Click to view link

Reply from The Daily Bell

Thanks for the link.

  Posted by F. Beard on 05/25/10 11:20 PM

"As long as we issue fiat currency, I see no alternative to a legal tender law." - Alan Greenspan via DB

Look Al, government can issue fiat and give it value by accepting it back as taxes. Therefore no legal tender laws are required.

  Posted by Weeble on 05/25/10 10:55 PM

Hmm, was I singing in your key?

No need to put it off - the end is nigh, then we will all be able to breathe from the bottom of our lungs again. And what a nice tune we'll sing (Anarchy in the UK - Sex Pistols?)

I was just kidding by the way; I love this *** banter. But it takes a lot out of me to understand complex trains of thought. It makes me drift into analogy-land, and then viola, I have a piece of what I think is verbal music. But no-one cares about crazy Weeble. I like that.

I think the answer is quite simple. Money is anything of value to the person trading it away for something else they also value but need more at that particular moment. A complex derivative of that would be common stock, but we need to evolve from the beginning again.

  Posted by F. Beard on 05/25/10 10:34 PM

"Jones (crusher):Old Yiddish Proverb... "Men make plans, God laughs"; just 5 words to sum it all up. Nicely said. " - Weeble

We're just brain storming or at least I am. If we can figure out how to do money properly then it might put off the End for a few generations. And there would be some satisfaction, even if ignored, in knowing that there WAS a solution.

  Posted by Weeble on 05/25/10 10:15 PM

I cannot stand by and just listen any longer. Although you are all vibrating at a far higher harmonic than I on the historical side of the fiat currency issue, you are all straddling various violins and playing your heart out, trying to make your song sweeter than the other. But all you are doing is splitting horse hairs.

Jones (crusher): Old Yiddish Proverb... "Men make plans, God laughs"; just 5 words to sum it all up. Nicely said.

It is time to hava nagila (let's rejoice) with a side order of v'nismecha (and be happy). The Power Elite is definitely in a diminuenco these days. They have been singing the same tune for 6,000 years, but they are not very good with anything MIDI, and are definitely not on an Edirol. Once they have a few more double flats, they will quaver, and their music will end on an off note.

Oh yes, there may be an E flat major drifting out of the IMF (Infinitely More Fiat) with the SDR (SuperDollaR) [oh no, not Weeble and the SDR again], but this is an opportunity to explore a simpler tune in basic 4/4 time. But it cannot be planned. New tunes are invented through spontaneity not rigidity.

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