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The Statist Truth About China
China's Anxiety About Successful Companies ... China is turning independent coal-mines into state-run operations, showing its impatience with private companies that get too big. China's high-profile battle with foreign companies makes it seem as though those businesses keep the nation's economic planners awake at night. It has arrested a Rio Tinto executive on trumped-up charges, blocked Facebook and YouTube, and restricted (in practice if not in name) foreign firms from key industries such as oil, media, and metals. ... While the government has claimed it's putting forth better companies at the expense of weaker ones, the root cause remains that an ever-insecure China wants to rein in independent sources of influence (and wealth) that it feels have become too independent to control. This trend, known in Chinese as "the country advances and the private retreats," allows the government to increase its control over the economy by funneling resources and growth potential into more pliable state companies. – Newsweek
Dominant Social Theme: The Chinese model advances ...
Free-Market Analysis: We have written numerous articles about the Chinese miracle with the intent of trying to explain that while China may have created a Western competitive face, the reality is otherwise. We have provided these articles because the current Western approach to China seems to us to have presented a dominant or sub-dominant social theme of sorts – that the "Chinese have found a way to marry state efficiencies to the power of the free-market to create formidable, world class results."
How does such a theme benefit the power elite, which is has been intent for the last century on advancing global governance? By making the argument that China has beat the West at its own "free-market" game with a more authoritarian brand of market-commerce, the elite can justify further public/private approaches to industrial competition. Justifications for the elite's favored form of business activity – mercantilism – is advanced and even celebrated within this context. It casts an unfortunately favorable light on the manipulation of public power for private gain.
We recently analyzed a book by author Ian Bremmer called "The End of the Free Market" which partook of these arguments, presenting the notion that state capitalism shall be the new model for the global economy, and that China is the forward-looking face of this sort of paradigm. We analyzed the Bremmer book from the point of view of a dominant social theme, presenting the argument that Bremmer, a brilliant young man with an extraordinary array of elite credentials, was trying to frame a new kind of cold war. Our conclusion was that by focusing on state capitalism as a significant danger to the West, Bremmer was able to reconfigure Western industry as free-market oriented – when increasingly it is not. It was a rhetorical trick, but an effective one.
In fact, large Western industry is increasingly intertwined with the state and the model may be rightly termed corporatism. But by contrasting Western corporatism with the authoritarian model offered by such massive, developing countries as China, Bremmer has fashioned a right-left paradigm that could present even the biggest and most inefficient Western companies as "free-market" oriented when compared to their Chinese counterparts. It is in our view an attempt to change the context of the debate at a time when arguments in the West over free-markets are becoming more focused and productive thanks to the Internet. You can read the article here: Power Elite Versus State Capitalism.
In analyzing Bremmer's presentation as an emergent dominant social theme – and he has received plenty of publicity of late – we neglected to explore one aspect of the argument, which is that state-run entities themselves are notoriously inefficient and eventually become hopelessly incompetent. This argument was made by none-other than the famous free-market economist Ludwig von Mises, who argued in books such as "Socialism" that countries with mixed economies inevitably end up with more and more involvement by the state, thus dampening and finally removing price information from the economy – at which the point the economy collapses.
Critics have pointed out that Mises' argument, while true, did not fully anticipate the timeline necessary to destroy a large, existent, Western economy. The American economy for instance, has become progressively more socialized; yet because of existing vitality and a legacy of market-oriented approaches, the economy may continue forward for years or decades before finally succumbing to mortal wounds.
Socialism, in fact, unpredictably injurious. It took the European Union some 50 years before significant rot presented itself. The Soviet Union took about 70 years to die. Cuba's arc has been similar. There is no reason to believe that China's "miracle" will last much longer than a similar period, even though the country now looks so very formidable. But we would argue, and we have, that looks can be deceiving and that in China's case, they are.
From our point of view, China has created a two-tier system in which competition exists between street vendors and small, struggling entrepreneurial companies but not at the upper levels of Chinese commerce where the power is. China's bigger banks, financial companies and industrial entities are all in some sense controlled by the state, as this article in Newsweek suggests.
There is actually nothing especially surprising about China's approach to free-market enterprise. In a sense it mimics the South American model, which is also authoritarian. In South America, small groups of privileged families traditionally control the social power centers – finance and industry – while the masses hawk cell phones to each other at ever-diminishing margins on the streets below. This is in fact, increasingly the Western model as well.
Newsweek's story about China is not laudatory by any means. But significantly, the problems that Newsweek defines as inherent in the Chinese model have to do with increasing "corruption." In "nationalizing these mines, the Chinese government won't be able to grow the economy and reduce corruption, disobedience, and scandal," Newsweek writes. The magazine thus grants that nationalization will allow Chinese leaders to "grow the economy," though corruption will rise as a result. This is a trade-off the Chinese will have to live, the magazine implies.
Conclusion: In fact, as we will see sooner or later, the trade-off that China has made is one between a vibrant, growing economy and one that is collapsing in on itself. Austrian economics shows us quite clearly that wealth is created by individuals via human action, not state action. The fundamental argument for state competence is flawed – and investors especially would do well to take care. Statist methodologies do not create dreams but nightmares.
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Posted by Luis on 07/24/10 02:13 AM
"We have not examined Sharia banking in depth but, again, what exactly would be the problem with any business practice that is freely accepted by participants without government coercion? What business is it of anyone else?"
well, if you do examine it, please tell us, after it is "somebody's" business to recommend better financial solutions to poor ignorant mankind, including me; you are certainly in the "business" of influencing opinion, right?
on the other hand, this topic might interest some interests, very powerful ones, may I say PE? ticklish no?
hey, a friendly question, I am amazed again, what time zone are you at? thanks for the time you devote to this conversation...unseen ghost
Posted by Luis on 07/24/10 01:44 AM
Reply from The Daily Bell
We have not examined Sharia banking in depth but, again, what exactly would be the problem with any business practice that is freely accepted by participants without government coercion? What business is it of anyone else?
Posted by Luis on 07/24/10 01:42 AM
Best regards.
And I am sure you will understand my next post to you mentioning sharia law was NOT a snide remark. I am just learning and appreciate your help.
Reply from The Daily Bell
These are important issues. In most cases, the rule of thumb should be to let the marketplace and natural competition winnow out what is good from what is bad. Thanks for your correspondence.
Posted by Luis on 07/24/10 01:32 AM
"We are not evading the question. We believe it is up to the market to decide on money and banking " which is nothing more than warehousing, anyway. If people understand they are dealing with an institution that utilizes fractional reserves, and they are compensated for the risk (in their opinion), then that is their choice. You would make it a crime anyway. Sounds fairly authoritarian to us."
and I say I hear a distant little voice saying that you are suggesting sharia banking....hmmm...nothing per se against it...just wondering...
Reply from The Daily Bell
See our previous comment.
Posted by Luis on 07/24/10 01:18 AM
Nice going about excess of laws in corrupt societies, I quote Lila Rajiva:
"Reducing such issues to legal technicalities is precisely the problem. Corrupt societies inevitably have an overabundance of laws to cover up the fact that they no longer have any social (instinctive) understanding of standards, professional duties, and the many other unwritten or informal codes by which healthy societies function.
The plethora of laws is both the outcome and the cause of a fundamental lack of moral health. The law books in the Soviet Union were filled with high-sounding laws when the worst excesses of the system were in full swing."
Not meaning to diminish the importance of her comment, quite the contrary, to strengthen it, wasn't it Tacitus in the Roman Empire who stated
corruptissima res publica plurimae legge (Tacitus AD 56 " 117)
Makes for pessimism, doesn't it? and only apparently straying off topic, but given a two-thousand year repetition, may I be allowed to harp back on my complaint to the DB about its not wanting to openly condemn fractional reserve banking?
Well it's not such a detour from the topic, after all Lila Rajiva states that one should openly condemn fraud, and thus I would like for the DB to analyze this apparent inconsistency: its frequent praise of M Rothbard who truly condemns fractional reserve banking in no uncertain terms as open fraud. Please.
Reply from The Daily Bell
We have a difference of opinion with the esteemed Professor Rothbard on this issue, as do others. Professor Anatal Fekete has shown quite clearly that Real Bills existed and were in use prior to the 20th century without harm. Real Bills are certainly a form of fractional banking and were part of business-as-usual in a private banking system.
But fractional reserve banking has been practiced throughout history. Scottish banks seem to provide a good example and operated in this way with only a SIX PERCENT RESERVE for hundreds of years.
Fractional reserve banking, openly entered into and revealed to the public is a business strategy so far as we can tell. Airlines overbook regularly (selling more seats than they actually have) and other businesses conduct business similarly. There is a difference between a strategy and a fraud. Admittedly, fractional reserve fiat banking conducted under color of law is reprehensible (the terrible state of affairs today). But that is different from a private bank privately implementing a fractional strategy.
As Professor George Selgin points out, private bills provided by a private entity in excess of what is affordable would be redeemed at various branches regionally or nationally in a free-market banking environment. Were the issuer not able to handle the amount of bills issued, the issuer would go bust. What businesspeople in their right minds would indulge in a procedure that would inevitably lead to their bankruptcy?
Selgin's point is well taken in other regards as well (we don't have the cite at hand). His perspective, for instance, is that bank runs and subsequent fractional failures were in part due to the insistence of American "wildcat-era" regulators that local banks have very few, or even only one, branch.
Additionally, banks that wished to be chartered were forced to buy extremely dubious municipal paper. When the paper failed, the bank run was on. The lack of branches inevitably meant that everyone turned up at once in front of one door - as there were no branches. The redemption pressure was enormous and entirely artificial. Left to itself, the market would regulate fractional reserve banking, which is market strategy not an explicit or even implicit fraud.
Let the market decide.
Posted by Victor Barney on 07/23/10 09:13 AM
It is the model set-up by Obama's Marxist(Marxism is anti-messiah by definition) hero, Mao, and what now is being emulated by Obama, in America, who actually is Israel by the seed of Joseph(Gen, 48:16) and forbidden from putting a "foreigner"(non-Israelite) over them(Deut. 17:15)!
I guess now that 6,000 years has been completed, that that end time Anti-Messiah has been revealed! As Clint Eastwood made famous: Watch: America; because "hell's coming to dinner!" Hopefully, Revelation's Two-Witnesses will come this September 9th(Hebrew Feast of Trumpets(war)!
Posted by Lila Rajiva on 07/23/10 08:37 AM
I used the term "fraud" in its ordinary language meaning.
Legally, whether something was a fraud would depend on the fiduciary responsibility of the lender to the borrower and the specific terms of the contract.
But the very fact that we appeal to legal criteria, instead of professional standards, is itself a major problem.
Reducing such issues to legal technicalities is precisely the problem. Corrupt societies inevitably have an overabundance of laws to cover up the fact that they no longer have any social (instinctive) understanding of standards, professional duties, and the many other unwritten or informal codes by which healthy societies function.
The plethora of laws is both the outcome and the cause of a fundamental lack of moral health. The law books in the Soviet Union were filled with high-sounding laws when the worst excesses of the system were in full swing.
That was one of the main arguments in my first book (to insert a unseemly plug for myself!)
Reply from The Daily Bell
"Corrupt societies inevitably have an overabundance of laws to cover up the fact that they no longer have any social (instinctive) understanding of standards, professional duties, and the many other unwritten or informal codes by which healthy societies function."
Well done, the less "laws" the more justice.
Posted by Victor Barney on 07/22/10 10:29 AM
Posted by Rbs on 07/22/10 07:49 AM
The magazine cover jinx is well-known in finance. Go to Click to view link for further information.
For instance, many countries abandoned US dollars for Euros, and central banks bought gold at market TOPS, not bottoms. This happens constantly. The Fed and other central banks only react.
Trading requires insight and more importantly, discipline at all levels. Those who depend on the agency of psychopaths to force their own personal whims on others, have neither the knowledge nor will to control themselves. This is what you find throughout societies that have defaulted to whatever "powers that be".
The problem is that those "powers that be" are no different from those who hire them, except that these powerful people have the talent to organize performances for large audiences and mass consumption. So I see no difference between an American president and other celebrities, for example, and the American people who allow these leaders to remain on the job.
The crisis we have now poses a choice on whether or not people continue to gain from pathological social behavior. The economic part of this crisis manifests the limits of what psychopathic societies can accomplish, and such societies will likely retrace conditions right to the beginning. In this case, targets can be as far back as the early 17th century.
I predict some retracement, because, especially in America and subsequently in much of the West, people never completely matured. We now have to live with the results of juvenile delinquents in positions of responsibility and our letting this happen. We must summon our will and declare our intent to counteract these malignant people and create conditions to significantly reduce the risk of such social diseases ever recurring.
If we do not want to return to pre-1648 conditions, then we need to identify and address this pathological behavior within and without ourselves.
Posted by Clayton on 07/22/10 03:58 AM
In my opinion, this is an issue relating to Capacity. A contract must have certain items to be enforceable, one of which is Capacity. So I agree with Lila that the lending of money to someone, who the lender knows has not the likelihood of being able to make good on the loan's conditions, is not an enforceable contract.
I am not so sure that I would go so far as to say that a fraud has been committed on the part of the lender, but I think the borrower, under these circumstances has a wide degree of latitude in Justice to have the terms of the loan modified, or in an extreme situation, have the contract made null and void with the lender taking a complete loss. If the lender harmed the borrower in an attempt to enforce such an ineffective contract, that would be a separate case all together.
During the lending splurge of the past decade, it was clear to me that many lenders were making loans without any active investigation into establishing the capacity of the borrowers. I was shocked at the loan terms that I was offered and the complete lack of financial disclosure asked of me to partake of the offered funds. It seemed that an address and a drivers license and social security number were all that mattered.
Surely, many people took knowing advantage of this looseness and lack of due diligence, but I do believe that many low IQ folks were hustled into making commitments largely due to the selling pressure and the story telling abilities of the loan agent.
Sorting this out will be difficult, but we do have some guidance in this regards to the legal issues that pertain to those in positions of knowledgeability and authority that has been established in the law. As a party putting myself forth as an expert in a certain field, particularly if this is reinforced by a government licence confirming this fact, I have a special and additional responsibility in my dealings with those who do not have the same expert position as myself. The professional lender is just that kind of person who puts himself forward as someone with a deep knowledge of the loan market, including the burdens a mortgage places on any borrower, and is therefore expected to act in good conscience not to impair the lives of those who he does business with and profits from.
With rare exception, it seems that everyone is going to get a pass on this one. The Real Estate lobby is very powerful and has moved to protect its members from any great amount of accountability in this regard. The same is true for the banks. So, I am confident a repeat of this whole thing in time is likely.
Additionally, the loan modification program that O put out last year to hold back the foreclosure crisis has had the effect of adding more impairment in the lives of people, who are already coping with the despair of loosing the houses they thought they owned. In our debt ridden, debt driven economy it must appear abnormal not to be in debt, but some people have absolutely no business taking on debt.
The time has come for those of us with sensitivity to this issue and the knowledge of what I am talking about, to insist on a more honest, level headed approach to lending money. We should bias our opinion on this matter to those who are suffering, until the lending industry steps up to the plate and takes responsibility for correcting the abuses it has been complicit in committing.
Posted by Gernot Hassenpflug on 07/21/10 10:32 PM
Reply from The Daily Bell
You raise a good point.
Posted by Tawny on 07/21/10 04:43 PM
Re the question about how Mao came to power, it is an interesting one. I read years ago that the CIA had 'hit teams' assigned to see to the assassination of rising (and uncontrolled) charismatic leaders in Asia... also I have read Sutton's excellent WALL STREET AND THE BOLESHEVIK REVOLUTION, documenting that Western capital financed that 'spontaneous uprising.' The socialist FDR also was a Wall Street 'chosen one,' not unlike Barry Soetero... read Sutton's WALL STREET AND FDR. So somehow I find it hard to believe that Mao did not have the blessings, if not the active assistance, of Wall Street and the international bankers.
This syllogism should go far for those who have a brain...
1. Power corrupts. Big government, historically, is always repressive, anti-populist, pro-insider/elitist government.
2. Socialism/Communism/collectivism NECESSITATES big/bigger government, to administer and run all the socialistic programs.
3. Ergo, socialism NECESSITATES big government " that is to say, elitist, mercantalist governments that exploit the very workers they ostensibly are there to help. As in, 'we're from the government and we're here to help...'
When I think of China I think of so many unhappy(euphemism) things -- reckless, heedless, and 'world class' air and other types of pollution... toxic (melamine,lead) products... people forced to work incredibly long hours in unhealthy conditions for slave wages... people incarcerated in forced labor prisons for many years for criticizing the government... traveling 'execution vans' that execute prisoners for their organs... unwanted Chinese girls in understaffed orphanages, suffering from horrible diaper rashes, neglect, malnutrition...
And then I see China put forward as a dignified and successful state that we in the West should respect and emulate ...
Reply from The Daily Bell
Good to hear from you.
Posted by MetaCynic on 07/21/10 03:35 PM
The elite admired Soviet Bloc and Japan Inc. bit the dust together. Given such timing, it's not unreasonable to assume that Newsweek's article is the kiss of death for the China Miracle. It's official, Red China is about to step into the dustbin of history!
Reply from The Daily Bell
Ha, that's funny - like appearing on the cover of Sports Illustrated is an immediate jinx for an athlete, no matter how legendary.
Posted by Lila Rajiva on 07/21/10 03:07 PM
In the third world too, the game is the old one. Tax the middle-class and give to the poor to get the votes to rule on behalf of the rich. Unfortunately, the left has a blind-spot for many third-world governments, maybe out of an admirable sympathy for the people they rule.
For instance, in an exchange I had with her (which I hope she'll forgive me for quoting publicly,) Ms. Brown suggested that there was no inflation in India...
An impressive lady " courageous, plain-spoken, and insightful on a number of things...but not on that, I think...
Posted by Lila Rajiva on 07/21/10 02:05 PM
We are in agreement then ... No argument with your clarification at all..
Reply from The Daily Bell
We are happy to be in agreement with the esteemed Ms. Rajiva.
Posted by Harold Larsen on 07/21/10 01:56 PM
Posted by Bill on 07/21/10 01:54 PM
To allow any one person or group of people to control way more than their fair share seems immoral and unjust. It is estimated that 25000 people die each day from hunger and hunger related diseases.
We do not know what actually goes on inside of China's government and can only judge them by their actions which economically seem to suggest they are beating the West at its own game of predatory capitalism. This while the USA continues to mire itself in military hegemony.
Are the Chinese elite living the same HIGH LIFE, capitalist elite are living? Are they making decisions for the common good and future of their country? Seems the latter is true. Have they unjustly invaded Tibet?
Yes, but with USA, English, & Russian approval at the end of WWII. As the history of the West has been a continuous situation of what might be called social darwinism- resulting in extreme ranges in wealth that always favor the minority, we will have to observe the China experiment and see if the results are any better.
Reply from The Daily Bell
The Chinese system concentrates wealth, power and control at the top. Their penal system is even worse than America's, their toleration for dissent is minimal and they tend to run their own citizens over with tanks for having the temerity to disagree. It is ultimately a command-and-control system and will not end well.
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Posted by Jimi BigBear on 07/21/10 01:18 PM
Ellen Brown hit on the true secret of China's success " certainly one of the core secrets, at any rate " with her August 17th, 2009 article:
THE SECRET OF CHINA'S MIRACLE ECONOMY:
THE GOVERNMENT OWNS THE BANKS RATHER THAN THE REVERSE
Click to view link
Reply from The Daily Bell
Jim Bigbear for Ellen Brown to endorse the "Chinese Miracle" when home prices are going through the roof and whole cities stand unoccupied is frankly not the best idea from a credibility standpoint. The knock on central banks is that they produce inflation no matter who owns and runs them. Franklin is said to have admitted it toward the end of his life and now the Chinese experience would seem to be confirming it. Time will tell if there is a sharp downturn or not - a "bust" but we think sooner or later there will be.
Also, she writes ... "Historically, however, when bubbles have collapsed suddenly it has been because they were punctured by speculators." Are there no speculators in China? Must the bubble be punctured only by foreign speculation? Indeed, time will tell.
PS: Ellen should read "Socialism" by Ludwig von Mises. So should you, if you have not. Command and control economies ultimately crumble, as he pointed out, because price information is distorted and price signals are misleading. This is obviously happening in China now, though how long it will take to affect the "Chinese miracle" is anybody's guess.
Posted by BigAl on 07/21/10 11:01 AM
"Western industry is increasingly intertwined with the state and the model may be rightly termed corporatism."
Please let me name such an industry. We meed to focus to fix the problem and A Problem is the AVIATION INDUSTRY.
It became air born at not so long ago at Kitty Hawk, USA and look at it today....WMD's.!
Keep it up
Posted by Bruno on 07/21/10 10:41 AM
Your articles are certainly interesting, but I am afraid that, with the numbers of e-letters I am already dealing with, I will have little time to post comments.
Reply from The Daily Bell
No problem, Bruno. Strange you receive our e-notification without subscribing to it. Never heard that one before. You are welcome to opt out or, if you choose to receive the email, to read without commenting.
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