News & Analysis
Is Obama Over?
Critics say Obama's message becoming 'incoherent' ... President Obama (left) is under fire for what some are calling mixed messages on plans to build an Islamic center near ground zero. ... Some observers say Obama's comments show messaging problems for president ... "The danger here is an incoherent presidency," said David Morey, vice chairman of the Core Strategy Group, who provided communications advice to Obama's 2008 campaign. "Simpler is better, and rising above these issues and leading by controlling the dialogue is what the presidency is all about. So I think that's the job they have to do more effectively as they have in the past [in the campaign]." ... "There is no question they are having messaging problems at the White House," Morey said. "They've lost control of the dialogue, and they've gotten pulled down by the extremes on the left and right. They've just not had a coherent set of themes." – CNN
Dominant Social Theme: President Barack Obama better focus!
Free-Market Analysis: It took Bill Clinton nearly eight years to kill the credibility of his presidency. It took George Bush about five years. It has taken Barack Obama about two. Anybody see a pattern? We do. The Internet itself, like a vast echo chamber, reminds people endlessly (over time) of the rhetorical and policy failures of US presidents. These failures are not necessarily personal peccadilloes either. What the Internet has done, in our view, has been to lift the veil on the irrationality of the system and of regulatory democracy generally. The cycle moves faster and faster as well.
During the Clinton years, the mainstream media was still able to provide a level of "cover" for the presidency. Newsweek magazine (which just changed hands for the proverbial dollar) sat on the story about Clinton's philandering for weeks if not months, while the President lied under oath and otherwise prevaricated. The DrudgeReport.com published the story and made its reputation as a result. That was really the beginning of the end not just for Newsweek but for the mainstream press' credibility generally.
George Bush, as we have pointed out before, did even less well than Clinton. We have asked many people about the turning point of the Bush presidency and startlingly they usually mention the very scenario that we ourselves have identified – the evening he shakily appeared on TV, not far into his second term, to announce (in New Orleans) that he was carving out US$200 billion from a non-existent federal cash surplus to send to Hurricane Katrina victims.
Of course no such amount of money was ever-forthcoming. The main result of that terrible speech was to kill Bush's presidency, however. People who had been waiting for the "real" George Bush to emerge from the political realist who had over-spent and over-regulated in his first term suddenly realized that Bush's compassionate conservatism was actually a coded phrase for "big-spending social conservative." In other words, Bush actually represented most of what America DIDN'T want – a moral and social busybody who was also a Leviathan-sized, statist spendthrift.
The media, as we have written, didn't get the point at all. They missed the nation-wide epiphany. Bush dissolved his base of support in one night – more effectively than he had with all his warmongering and ignorance about governance – but the mainstream media nattered on nonetheless. It was a perennial source of amazement for an additional three years that Bush's ratings continually drifted downwards no matter what he did. The back of his head as he gazed into the night sky out an airplane window – supposedly at New Orleans so far below – was a further indelible, photographic image that many of his supporters carried away in their collective mind's eye. It didn't help that the photograph was amply available on the Internet.
And now comes Barack Obama. What many remember about Obama we venture to guess (in hindsight anyway) were some of the incredibly fatuous backdrops he utilized during his campaign in 2008, the Romanesque stages designed to provide him with a sense of history – and destiny. In those heady days Time magazine repeatedly compared him to Franklin Delano Roosevelt, and this was a theme that carried forth even into his presidency. The elite that from our perspective had organized his presidency and made it possible also arranged for him to win the Nobel Peace Prize, even though it was pointed out at the time that he had done nothing yet to deserve it.
But everything is speeded up during the Internet news cycle. And images on the 'Net are more important than ever. Just as Bush was done in, in our opinion, by a photograph of a fly-over, so Obama's turn came when he was photographed with twin teleprompters flanking him while he addressed a classroom full of grade-school students from a podium. There is nothing to be done about the image now. It exists, in all its ridiculousness to tell the world that this man, this President, is afraid to address even children without the formal paraphernalia of a national address.
Of course there are other reasons that the Obama presidency has faded so quickly. It is not just the images but also, as we have indicated, the rhetoric and policies that have failed him. Reading about a president's policies in the gray pages of the New York Times is a great deal different than reading incisive and damning opinion pieces about them on the Internet. One form of presentation (the Times) has a kind of authority that the Internet itself tends to drain away. People, reading about, say, the Great Society programs of Lyndon Johnson might have disagreed with them, but they would never have made the mistake of believing that they were simple to construct or carry forth.
But on the Internet everything is boiled down to bare essentials. Obama and his enablers may provide elegant textual elements that are then translated into coherent and intricate articles. But the feedbacks beneath will be both blunt and colorful, draining away the meaningful ambiguities of the statements and denying them any semblance of nuance. This is not a bad thing of course, not from our point of view. But it is the reason, we think, that credibility tends to break down even faster these days. People don't have to struggle to understand what is being said even at the highest levels of policy making. The Internet's rush of repetition and clarification makes it quite comprehensible.
Conclusion: It does not help of course, that Obama has no coherence because his policies have no prospect of success. His economics are Keynesian, his global outlook is one of (failed) empire and his approach to governance emphasizes the kind of regulatory democracy that Americans increasingly find despicable. In another era perhaps Obama would be able to disguise the real polity of his regime, but in the Internet era there is no place to hide. This is the real problem in our view. It is not that Obama is incoherent but thanks in large part to the truth-telling of the Internet, the electorate understands him all-too-well.
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Posted by AcaJoe on 09/10/10 09:06 PM
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Reply from The Daily Bell
Thanks for the link.
Posted by Jemlyn on 09/04/10 11:49 AM
Thinking people are getting their information elsewhere, like at the DB. The others are not much interested in news; they go for the sports and entertainment. So the power to manipulate opinion is eroding.
The ideological leftists are not a big voting bloc. They get their votes from the recipients of government handouts. It is becoming obvious to everyone that these handouts cannot keep increasing so the enthusiasm for political action at the lower level will be hard to marshall.
The tea partyists do have enthusiasm, anger and even desperation. They do not yet have enough suitable candidates for office. The Republicans will benefit this time around but they are not the future. They have helped to put us in this mess and they won't be the ones to get us out.
I fear that we may have to crash before we can reorganize and get up again but some parts of the destruction are also hopeful. Public education/indoctrination is poisonous. The states are going bankrupt and, if they can't fund their obligations to the teacher's pensions, maybe they will have to put education out to private bidders. The universities are losing public funds. Maybe they will have to give up wasteful, useless programs and grant funding. Perhaps business will realize they could devise tests to identify qualified, self-educated candidates for jobs.
Posted by Mike on 08/22/10 06:16 PM
I remember, after hearing this tripe emanating from the sychophants in the MSM, that this empty suit was headed to the White House. It bore similarity to the same way that Bill Clinton an obscure governor from a backwater state was catapulted to the head of the pack despite having no real legacy to stand on.
Prior to his handlers making him a star his national claim to fame was putting everyone to sleep when asked to introduce Dukakis at the 1988 DNC convention.
Posted by Ready Freddie on 08/21/10 11:47 AM
Posted by Lukester on 08/20/10 06:07 PM
Reply from The Daily Bell
"He could be our worst fumbler, but they put him at the starting line with a fine couple of barbells strapped onto his ankles."
No doubt from your point of view, had he started without such handicapping, he would have "created" plenty of new "jobs," generated new and more productive conflicts abroad and launched at least one or two more Homeland-Security type bureaucracies so that each US citizen could individually pursue warrantless wiretapping against the next.
Posted by SmithWinston 6748 on 08/20/10 05:00 PM
"During times of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." – George Orwell '1984'
Posted by Lukester on 08/20/10 01:32 AM
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'Ground Zero mosque': New Yorkers take dim view of rabble-rousing outsiders Mosque near Ground Zero: Tribute to tolerance or symbol of pain?
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Reply from The Daily Bell
Actually, from the beginning, New York City and New York commercial banks have been at the forefront of a European style command-and-control economy for America. Alexander Hamilton's historical intention to graft this banking system on the American free-banking economy was eventually confronted by President Andrew Jackson. But later on the New York banks backed US President Abraham Lincoln, helped with funding for the Civil War, and served as the braintrust and financial muscle for what became the Federal Reserve and eventually the graduated income tax.
New York has always been a beachhead of socialism, especially via the powerful media companies parked there. Its history is in a sense one of incipient fascism. Certainly, politically maverick does not quite describe New Yorkers (as we have lived there) unless you want to include "harassed," "over-taxed," "historically and financially illiterate," "constitutionally illiterate," "brainwashed by incoherent public schooling," "militantly pro-union," "arrogantly statist," "proud supporters of the American welfare/warfare state and US regulatory democracy," etc. etc.
Posted by Victor Barney on 08/19/10 12:29 PM
Posted by Lila Rajiva on 08/19/10 10:07 AM
This will lead to the following memes:
Obama " done in by that racist right-wing.
Obama " Not tough enough to face down evil (Iran, tea-party activists, militia, Scientologists, Sarah Palin, and any other convenient red-rag that the MSM can wave in front of the population at opportune moments).
DB's sincerity is evident, compared to the many libertarians who seem to trim their rhetorical sails to the winds. A pox on them.
Perhaps being in Switzerland helps.
Posted by R M'Geddon on 08/19/10 09:00 AM
The first is that he's completely out of his depth in the job, & hasn't a clue how to do it well. The second is his lack of legitimacy from Day 1. He's never satisfactorily proved that he was born in the USA (ie Hawaii) rather than at the Coast Province Hospital, Mombasa, Kenya " so depriving him in the public mind of integrity & authenticity. Even if he had turned out to be good at being a President, this authenticity aspect would have always dogged him. As he's turned out to be incompetent, his demise has only been faster. Sad really, & very foolish of him!
Posted by ConfederateH on 08/19/10 04:25 AM
"suddenly realized that Bush's compassionate conservatism was actually a coded phrase for "big-spending social conservative." In other words, Bush actually represented most of what America DIDN'T want ' a moral and social busybody who was also a Leviathan-sized, statist spendthrift."
Although you put your finger on part of Bush's downfall, you portray it as being merely 2 dimensional, and there were many other dimensions. Lets face it, he got the tax cuts right but he couldn't bring about necessary corresponding spending cuts, especially after 2006. He was right about Social Security reform too.
I also think that thedailybell is far to quick to simply ignore the fact that militant islam is a very big threat to world peace and prosperity, and it is in fact a glaring omission in a piece that starts out discussing Obama's tin ear concerning the ground zero mosque.
We will never know what would have happened if Saddam and the Taliban were still in power, but there is a very good chance that things could be far worse than they are now.
Reply from The Daily Bell
Posted by MetaCynic on 08/19/10 04:13 AM
Through our magic eyes, we can see that those who come as friends and peace makers are really terrorists hiding explosives. The ones prattling about morality are carrying child pornography in their hip pockets. The apparently lean and muscular types are actually wearing girdles to hide the gluttonous obesity of feeding at the public trough. Even seemingly publicly spirited folks wishing only to make the internet more safe are in fact planning to blind our new eyes with kryptonite dust.
Evil has finally become visible for all to see.
Posted by Spacepuppy on 08/18/10 11:45 PM
Posted by Spacepuppy on 08/18/10 11:38 PM
Posted by AmanfromMars on 08/18/10 10:43 PM
That is the simplest of problems to solve ..... Spin a new tale with a more comprehensive and novel script, way more advanced than the present primitive and pedestrian penny dreadfuls which are fed to the masses. That way will there be no repeat of the past failures which catalogue US sub prime administerial and presidential performances.
And yes, that would necessarily require a new breed of ghost writer, for anything less than something completely new will only result in more of the same old stuff and nonsense.
And to tarry and dither, will result in the necessary initiative and the solution being seized and implemented by Others, who will then Lead.
Or do you imagine, for whatever strange and perverse and subversive reason which I would not even dream of wasting any of anyone's time in considering further, that it is a lot more complicated than that?
Keeping it so Relatively Simple, allows for Immediate Improvement in a Beta Programming Project for Future Centuries with IT.
Posted by ED on 08/18/10 10:34 PM
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Posted by Zenbillionaire on 08/18/10 10:10 PM
He can buffalo Congress into passing a "Health Care Reform" bill without even reading it, but we aren't convinced until we understand it and so we keep trying until we do. I like it myself. I'm kind of glad it happened.
Posted by Bill Ross on 08/18/10 07:49 PM
"How can 59,054,087 people be so DUMB?"
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... a little gem from the memory hole ...
... Change YOU can believe in ...
Obama has spoiled it for any genuine non-white president, for a very long time. People will forget that there has not been a genuine white president, for a very long time. Its not about race. Its about integrity and allegiances (to US people and law of the land). Oh well, maybe a different sex? I know, Hilary (shudder) Clinton.
Posted by Duane Bass on 08/18/10 04:47 PM
Posted by Mark Y on 08/18/10 03:31 PM
I believe the Bell is right ' Obama has lost his credibility after less than two years in office. I have thought for some time though that he does not care. I suspect he was elected with the charge of ramming the evil "Obamacare" monstrosity through and has been told not to worry if he is not reelected ' he will be richly rewarded in his post-presidency life. With Obamacare in place and the nationalization of the public schools in the US well under way, the elite have gotten what they need. Without a revolution ' hopefully a peaceful political one ' the United States as a free nation is a thing of past history.
I hope and pray that the reality of this situation spurs the masses into action ' not just depressed acquiescence.
Reply from The Daily Bell
Watching Obama's behavior, his lackadaisical speechmaking and his obsessive rushes to the golf course (showing an almost D-Day like determination) we have come to the same conclusion. He cares in spasms (the health care bill is one example) but increasingly not as all. It is as if he accepts the decline of his fortunes and is simply determined to find as much pleasure in his post as possible via expensive, dinners, vacations, diplomatic travel, etc.
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