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Insider Trading and Central Banks

Tuesday, October 05, 2010 – by Staff Report

Are former Fed officials gaining access to secret information? ... In its story about the problem of former Federal Reserve officials gaining access to secret market-moving information at the central bank, Reuters has found a really good solution: Ben Bernanke should come out and give a press conference after each meeting of the Federal Open Markets Committee, which sets monetary policy. The European Central Bank holds a press conference after its key meetings that gives its president, Jean-Claude Trichet, a chance to explain the reasoning behind its actions in a public forum. "If Bernanke can't stop the leaks he ought to have a full press conference after the meeting. It's inappropriate for certain people to gain an advantage on information from the Fed," said Ernest Patrikis, a former No. 2 official at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and now a partner at law firm White & Case. The story notes how some former Fed officials, like former Fed governor Larry Meyer, are talking to people at the Fed about the confidential internal discussions leading up policy decisions. Then, Meyer and other former Fed officials (and other people who haven't worked at the central bank but are close to its officials) write notes to their clients summarizing what they found out. For this, they get paid millions. – Market Watch

Dominant Social Theme: If you know too much, sit down!

Free-Market Analysis: We've written about the insanity of insider-trading laws before but this article brings it all back to us. Many laws and regulations these days are written as a kind of pre-emptive propaganda and insider-trading regulations are among the most pernicious in this regard. The powers-that-be have wanted to make sure that average investors would not entertain any doubts that the stock market (where enormous profits are made) placed him or her on a level playing field with the "big boys.

Sub-dominant social theme: "If we catch any of these Wall Street types taking so much as a finger's worth of advantage over YOU sir, they're going to see the inside of the Big House!"

This is morally repugnant to us because it reminds us of ancient South American rituals – the ones where they ripped out the hearts of victims to ensure precipitation. Every once in a while, with great fanfare a human life is destroyed (with 10 or 20 years of jail) for the singular crime of trading on "information." People, in aggregate, are then supposed to sit back, satisfied that the stock markets are "fair."

Just today in fact, we have another example of this sort of pursuit from France. Chron.com reports, "A Paris court has convicted former trader Jerome Kerviel guilty of all charges in one of history's biggest trading frauds, sentencing him to three years in prison and ordering him to repay Societe Generale SA the staggering euro4.9 billion ($6.72 billion) that the bank lost." The issue of how and why Kerviel was able to bet over 50 billion euros during a single year is not something the court is apparently addressing, only the losses that Kerviel cannot possible pay back in a dozen lifetimes.  

The system itself, were it a person, would likely be declared clinically insane. The idea that the Kerviels of the world (despite his failures) trade on an even footing with the rest of us is questionable in the extreme. Never mind that everyone trades on information. The "information" that people are put in jail for is very specific and peculiar. In fact, insider trading has only been a "crime" for about 30 years. Like most white-collar crimes, it is a moving target, having more to do (reality) with the power elite's intention to criminalize any financial function that it does not entirely control and mandate for its chosen players.

There are other problems with insider trading regs. They are kept purposefully vague so that the SEC (in America) can utilize them whenever its attorneys wish to and apply them "creatively" (for whatever purpose.) All this does, in fact, is reinforce the inequities that surround insider trading laws and ensure that they remain what they really are, a fear-based promotion designed to inflict maximum pain on a few "outsiders."

What is so repugnant about these sorts of manipulations is that the stock market is neither fair nor equitable and it takes a certain kind of personality to "invest" in it. Most people know instinctively that there is something strange about the evolution of Western-style equity marts but combine a raging bull market with endless streams of media promotion featuring individual stocks and many people are apt to succumb to the blandishments of "trading" – at least with a little bit of their income.

In fact, as we have pointed out on numerous occasions, the modern stock-market (US style) has been in existence about 100 years. It really found its legs once a central banking beachhead (the Federal Reserve) was established in the US. The Fed inflated wildly (and illegally) in the 1920s (the Roaring 20s) and "investing" as a national pastime was off and running.

Of course, the 1930s severely dented the mania for stocks and it was not until the 1950s road shows were conducted by the New York Stock exchange that people were able to put aside their reluctance to begin to buy stocks again. After the 1950s, the modern stock exchange (especially in America which was the most consumer oriented) made steady progress until the 1970s.

The 1970s were not kind to stocks but the 1980s and 1990s (with ups and downs) saw steady progress for many equity investors. It was not until the middle of the first decade of the 2000s that the wheels really began to come off. And now, in our view, the American model of stock investing is dying. Of course it is still being flogged but the Baby Boomers (its primary target) have been scarred by all that has happened in the past few years and we question whether its animal spirits will ever be fully resuscitated.

Nonetheless, of course, the insider trading meme continues to be promoted. One of the first big cases featured a couple of printers who were reading Business Week and trading on the information before it was published. But is it really so simple? Wall Street has access to the best mathematical minds in the business and the best computers. We remember one big firm in the 1980s that practiced aggressive pairs trading using ratios between similar stocks and running those ratios through huge computers at night, then making bets on the ratios during the night before traders readjusted them the next day. How did this differ from insider trading? The firm had access to information and technology that Mr. Joe Public could not have accumulated in his entire lifetime.

What about Big Board "specialists" who apparently used to set NYSE stock prices too high or too low at the beginning of the day and then make a killing as the stocks gradually drifted down to where they should have been all along – based on the proprietary supply-and-demand of their "book." It was perfectly legal – the specialists were just trying to make a market and ensure "orderly trading." We could go on and on. The idea that stock markets are fair or that everyone gets decent information about stocks at the same time is a farcical one – and the saddest farce of all is that people are in jail over "insider trading." Without information markets simply don't function.

And here's one more example for you. How about the OTC market makers in the US who are granted the legal right to "short" a "reasonable" amount of shares in order to facilitate orderly market making. Sounds great until they start acting in concert with illegal crime syndicates comprised of wealthy naked short sellers who act in concert to destroy companies and their underlying value. The market makers in unison hammer the bid side of a market with coordinated short sales, all in the name of "reasonable" market making. Meanwhile, their buddies who hide behind offshore structures – although they tend to live primarily in Brooklyn, Boca Raton and southern California – make a killing by scaring retail investors and purposefully destroying companies.

And here is where regulators once again ASSIST with the process... yellow journalism rises to the occasion to support the "short attack" with all kinds of defamatory and often crude statements. No name journalists come out with outlandish reports AFTER the shorts are in position to provide regulators with the necessary "whining" required to bring their naïve investigators into the equation and on and on it goes.

In the last example above, the only people who are not part of the knowledge pool are the average mom and pops who invest in the companies. The short syndicates and their accomplices, which often includes the regulators (knowingly or otherwise) walk away with millions every day from their inside "creation" of information. Once again, the whole notion of regulators being able to police "insider trading" is farcical.

Those at and around the Federal Reserve – and central banks generally – know this of course. Information is the currency of the Fed and while there is no indication that Fed officers directly trade on such information, the lines certainly become blurry the farther out you get from official central banking personages themselves.

If one is acting on information derived over time about where certain central banking decisions are headed, then isn't that a form of insider trading by anyone's definition? But it gets even worse. If one is SELLING one's information and access then isn't one "soft dollaring" the information that one has access to. One is "monetizing" one's access. Isn't that a form of insider trading? What about Alan Greenspan? He gets paid hundreds of thousands of dollars for his insights. Isn't he monetizing his access to the central banking mechanism generally? is that "fair?"

Life is unfair. Securities regulations generally are not about protecting the "little guy" but about setting up barriers to entry to make sure the established players have no competition. (It's called regulatory capture). There is probably not a single regulation that works as advertised or does not have other adverse consequences that reduce "fairness." The monetary inflation provided by central bank overprinting is itself unfair, giving people the idea that stock markets are going up due to economic circumstances rather than monetary ones.  

Conclusion: In fact, financial regulation itself is futile. After 100 years of ever-increasing regulation, law shelves groan and all that has been accomplished is the centralization of power and privilege and the further reduction of any real opportunity for individuals to participate on an even playing field. But then again that's probably the point.




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  Posted by James Korman on 10/07/10 03:49 PM

Insider trading is a chimerical fraud; nobody is ever punished when insiders lose money, which is likely to be more than 75% of the time, as most tips are wrongfully & at times deliberately misleading.

Cicero: The more the rules the less the civilization. As true today as it was during his day.

  Posted by MetaCynic on 10/06/10 10:39 AM

The mother of all insider trading schemes was the huge number of put options bought just before 9/11 on Boeing, United, American and others destined to fall.

Who did the almighty SEC finger for illegally profiting on that windfall? But of course multimillionaire Martha Stewart had to go to jail for "lying" to the FBI about a paltry $40,000 worth of "insider" trading.

Then there was the trader who over a period of years repeatedly informed the SEC that according to his analysis, Bernie Madoff was up to no good. He all but chewed their food for them but they refused to swallow any of it and did nothing thus facilitating that monstrous swindle.

The SEC investigators were probably too busy visiting porno sites on taxpayer funded computers to go after real criminals. Of course the SEC will ask for a bigger budget to pay for the higher salaries required to attract reliable employees.

Here's an infallible investment tip. If it was a tradeable market, no one would ever lose money betting that government agencies would continue to get annual budget increases. How's that for insider trading?

  Posted by DRUNK AND DISORDERLY on 10/06/10 08:23 AM

@George Sign

" excellent view as usual. My stock trading experience mirrors yours with the same conclusions.

Thanks to the DB, we are reminded of the soft corruption of insider information and the impossibility of real control. Eventually main street will become broke and tired of the investing farce. If the game is rigged, don't play!

  Posted by Bill Ross on 10/06/10 06:29 AM

... Time for standard Pavlovian "Regulation is Futile" spiel (regarding controlling crime, but an excellent pretext for organized financial predations) ...

Where to start refuting a near infinite artificial reality and dangerously false paradigm?

Start by realizing that any ORGANIZED opinion has a self-interest agenda, determined by what they believe is in their self-interest in their environment which determines the choice possibilities available. In other words, any organized viewpoint and most individual viewpoints are parochial, within a narrow paradigm.

What should be clear to all competent thinkers is: REAL massive organizational failure has occurred. REAL factors are driving REAL events. The laws of reality (action inevitably leads to consequence) are imposing attrition costs for FALSITY. We, the people have already paid a hefty price for this and, the cost IS increasing. Our children will be slaves to the debt we have bequeathed them. This is OK, by some perspectives.

The first thing to do is to KNOW that regulation is an attempt of central command and control. As such, accurate information and models of reality are required, else: garbage in, garbage out.

I posit that anticipation of the future even if we have correct behavioral models is IMPOSSIBLE due to information corruption as it traverses hierarchies and the fact that such information is used to the detriment of information providers, encouraging lying. Proof:

Click to view link

The best (assuming honest regulators) that regulation can do is, in response to known action (choice) sequences that result in crime, deem these sequences illegal. This, presumably will prevent problems that have happened in the past, from recurring.

But, it appears that regulators, enforcers and interpreters are coerced by the regulated (lobbyists, bribes).

Another problem is that, since we live in an action precedes consequence reality, regulation must, by definition be reactive.

The result is that we have a massively expensive war (paid for by business, taxpayers and consumers) between regulators and their lawyers and innovative criminals and their lawyers. When innovative criminals manage to create a new method of fraud, such as subprime, well, they can honestly say: we were obeying law, nya nya, cannot touch us. This is a very expensive moral hazard, an environment that appears to be designed (by the legal profession) to achieve these very results.

There is only one thing that can be done to restore an honest economy, given that the future cannot be predicted. Respond to crime after the fact (and compensate victims), using REAL, basic definitions of crime. Restore the "rule of law":

Click to view link

Else, the costs of predatory regulation (ballooning to infinity as it attempts to track and anticipate infinity) and criminals running amok will continue to collapse civilization.

Mathematics of Rule irrefutably PROVES this:

Click to view link

We, the people KNOW we are prey. We are slowly achieving consensus regarding what to do about it.

  Posted by Rolland Carpenter on 10/05/10 06:36 PM

No one goes to prison anymore although corrupt insider trading has apparently always been a source of Wall Street wealth and is out of control now.

And today, they even take it by the hundreds of billions directly from the Fed and Treasury. Virtualy no interest is paid to us depositors on bank demand deposits anymore. The corruption of our financial system is nearly complete!

Small banks paid FDIC insurance premiums for 75 years, but the Fed, FDIC amd Treasury let many of them fail. The "bail out" went to those "Too Big to Fail" some not even premium-paying charted banks. The TARP loans and giveaways are only part of this massive and ongoing swindle.

If you are a stock market investor, consider staying away from Wall Street and its agents (brokers, mutual funds and many "financial advisors"). The only reasonably safe common stock investments are direct investments. Large utilities usually have Dividend Reinvestment Plans (DRIPs). The money you send goes directly to the company or its trustee, and is invested with no (or a very small) fee.

You can cash them in or close out your investment/reinvestment account and receive a stock certifcate plus cash dividends at any point. Most pay reasonable dividends and manage to reevaluate assets to keep up with inflation. They are usually regulated by state utility or public service commissions, so no billion dollar "option deals" for insiders or million dollar bonuses are likely.

  Posted by The Gimlet Eye on 10/05/10 06:18 PM

Well, human sacrifice certainly does have its uses! There's something in it for everyone! It helps control the headlines, provides convenient illusions for public consumption, and, is an all-around winner for the power players. When all is said and done, the power elite knows that if their purposes are to be served, they MUST control the human mind, first, last, and foremost. All the instruments specfically in question here, "central banks," the FED, the Wall Streeters and their "inside trading," etc., are dedicated in the end to this ideal.

If economics means "purposeful human action," then any power elite worth its salt must usurp and take control of that "purposeful human action." In order to do this, they must control the mind that acts. I understand that economists and big time money managers are gravitating more and more to the study of psychology as it relates to economic matters, and with good reason, I am sure.

C.G. Jung once wrote that

"...every science is a function of the psyche and all knowledge is rooted in it. The psyche is the greatest of all cosmic wonders and the sine qua non of the world as an object."

I believe that the power elite crooks have caught on to this great truth in a profound way and are taking full advantage of it.

Click to view link

  Posted by Bailingout on 10/05/10 05:33 PM

The best solution would be to eliminate the Federal Reserve and thereby eliminate the inside information they're responsible for creating.

Hold Gold

  Posted by Leonardo Pisano on 10/05/10 05:16 PM

Many people believe the government is there to protect the little guy. I now know it's just a promotion, a fake democracy, the ultimate scam. Regulations are simply mechanisms to make the individuals behave, and put them in a non-rebellious slavery mode.
Likewise, "insider trading" is a promotion to confirm the government protects Joe Average. So, they will keep confidence in the system and they will keep trading, uh losing their money to the sharks that know what to do with the money.

  Posted by Michael Ponzani on 10/05/10 03:25 PM

I wish you guys could tell us what you actually know and name names. But, I suppose that will have to wait until Gabriel blows his trump on the last day and we all arise on that great gettin' up mornin'. (Actually, i have an inquiring mind and want to hear what trog and Og did so many hundreds, if not thousands, of millenia before the Lascaux caves were painted.) Until then I'll have to content myself with palying the market and hybridizing my hot peppers in the joyfull hope of developing a standard strain theough back crossing as Biker Billy did whit his Jalapenos. (They are sold in Burpee's, among other seed catalogs.)

  Posted by John Blenkins on 10/05/10 02:33 PM

DB Thank you for your RT link

RE: Coldest winter for 1000 years.

I see that the links i sent on this did not show i have 2 of the 4 in my email box you stopped me looking a fool.

On related links to RT link MSM state sun spots and bending jet stream . This in all fairness was written april/10. Whats the bet
that this will be the main streams meme once it can not be suppressed any longer.Certainly it wont be blamed on the criminals behind the spill,hence the news blackout of gulf disaster.

Look for Haliburton to buy out snowplough companies and to place giant orders with china for thermals. Would appreciate your take on "Massive put options bought on S&P500"

Reply from The Daily Bell

"Would appreciate your take on "Massive put options bought on
S&P500 ..."

Unfortunately anything seems possible these days. Will look into it. October is often the chosen month for "catastrophes" financial and otherwise.

  Posted by Onebornfree on 10/05/10 01:55 PM

Reply from the Daily Bell:

"People are perfectly capable of providing their own solutions if they are left alone."

I completely agree.

However, others [admittedly a very small minority], are perfectly capable of providing their own solutions even if they are _not_ left alone ;-)

regards, onebornfree
onebornfree @ yahoo dot com

  Posted by Nanoo Visitor on 10/05/10 01:43 PM

The following may not be quite on topic. Please feel free to post it on a more relevant thread, if there is one.

An opinion piece posted today

Click to view link

tries to weave several threads, including "The Fed won't exist in 25 years." "Warning: it'll happen much sooner, fallout of the coming Second American Revolution". The warnings about who not to trust for market perspective begin near the bottom of p.1 and continue on p.2:

The paragraph just above the 1st warning mentions: "... transform America into a new, stronger post-capitalist economy". Given the divisions in the US today, that seems implausible.

Such a social order might be imposed. That may imply shuffling who is on top, but possibly no improvement in the prospects of everyone else.

Such a change might occur bottom-up. However, for it to work people would have to be as altruistic as might fit into the social organization portrayed in Star Trek. Perhaps a miracle will occur, and everyone will be miraculously transformed into such characters, working (key word) together, in (somewhat near) perfect harmony.

In the absence of such a transformation in people, a collapse is more likely to result in drastically reduced living standards; especially for the (possibly many fewer) serfs, but even for those on top.

  Posted by Onebornfree on 10/05/10 12:58 PM

Reply from the Daily Bell:

"....... if the market was allowed to function without all this invasive and detrimental regulation, people who wanted to invest in stocks large and small would probably have figured out a way, on their own, to short-circuit aggressive short-selling."

That's one hell of a big "if".

Meanwhile, in the real world, some people undoubtedly already have figured out a way regardless, with everything "as is"; without the need to have even one "detrimental regulation" either abolished, or added .

regards, onebornfree
onebornfree @ yahoo dot com

Reply from The Daily Bell

It is not a big if. People invented insurance companies, private audits and private consumer watchdogs before the advent of "helpful" government regulation. Religious communities such as the Shakers took in orphaned children and gave them loving homes before the advent of government run "orphanages" - that effectively ruined childrens' lives and precipitated the decline of the Shakers themselves. People are perfectly capable of providing their own solutions if they are left alone.

  Posted by Lila Rajiva on 10/05/10 12:23 PM

@DB

Not soon enough..had no idea until I read Deep Capture in 2009 that the media is so carefully organized to suppress the truth.

Reply from The Daily Bell

Here is the site:

Click to view link

Still, we would point out that if the market was allowed to function without all this invasive and detrimental regulation, people who wanted to invest in stocks large and small would probably have figured out a way, on their own, to short-circuit aggressive short-selling. It is noxious mix of regulatory authoritarianism, legal activism and then selective of "certain" issues that ultimately proves so problematic.

  Posted by John Blenkins on 10/05/10 12:23 PM

"Massive put options bought on S&P500 index. Indicating stock market crash 2010"

link. http://Stock Market Crash 2010.

As you can see from link this must come to pass by

10/16/2010.

Are we in for a new 9/11 or a BP spill? Follow the money.Who is dropping large lumps of stock and in what sectors? As in those who sold off airline stock pre 9/11 or BP stock pre gulf disaster.
The other side of the coin is Haliburton buying the world's largest oil clean up company three weeks before SPILL.

Israel to attack Iran maybe?

UFOs to hover over major world cities 10/13/2010?

In short i smell a rat of massive scale.

----

DB You my recall my post of 9/20/10 RE: The Thames to freeze over and Bookies without balls. I am near completion of an article on this and when done will post it to you.

Here is a brief up date.

Eventually got bet on at 20/1 was advertised at 100/1 was only allowed 50 max both the 20/1 and 50 in this context are i wager world records [must email guinness book of world records] ...

Recieved these links 1 hour ago the last 2 have already been taken down. Sweden and Poland reporting possible coldist winter in 1,000 yes 1,000 years.

links

Click to view link

Click to view link n-pa-tusen-ar-

Click to view link [taken down]

Click to view link 57366635790424 [taken down]

Just to cheer all up Double digit percentage rise in agriculture
commodity prices. Join the dots. What price for food when the main stream press have to release weather ahead. My advice to stock up food 9/20/10 sadly looks wise .

Click to view link./archives.

Reply from The Daily Bell

Coldest winter in 1,000 years on its way ...

Click to view link

October 5th, 2010

(RussiaToday) " After the record heat wave this summer, Russia's weather seems to have acquired a taste for the extreme.

Forecasters say this winter could be the coldest Europe has seen in the last 1,000 years.

The change is reportedly connected with the speed of the Gulf Stream, which has shrunk in half in just the last couple of years. Polish scientists say that it means the stream will not be able to compensate for the cold from the Arctic winds. According to them, when the stream is completely stopped, a new Ice Age will begin in Europe.

snip-----


We have been speaking to a water scarcity promotion. Perhaps it is time to focus on the food part.

  Posted by Onebornfree on 10/05/10 12:09 PM

Posted by Lila Rajiva on 10/5/2010 10:31:44 AM

"Until last year, I still believed that some regulatory changes might help ... Now, I think the whole thing is so corrupt and co-opted that any regulation will just exchange one evil for another, or, more likely, make things worse."

Aha! A significant awakening, perhaps?

Regards, onebornfree
onebornfree @ yahoo dot com

Reply from The Daily Bell

Lila is a fairly awake person.

  Posted by Cogitor on 10/05/10 10:58 AM

There is never going to be open information. Even if there was a press conference after the meetings, would they tell all? Even if they allowed reporters to attend the meeting, only chosen reporters would be admitted, only certain information would be discussed. The conspiracy would continue in secret.

  Posted by Lila Rajiva on 10/05/10 10:31 AM

Until last year, I still believed that some regulatory changes might help ... Now, I think the whole thing is so corrupt and co-opted that any regulation will just exchange one evil for another, or, more likely, make things worse. Thanks for writing about the media nexus in this...

  Posted by Fred Green on 10/05/10 09:03 AM

Gentlemen, The writings from the 3rd did not make it to my inbox?
I had the "statement" of articles listed in email heading but no articles? I notice they are not listed in today's archive...Do you know what might have happened to them...best regards

keep up the good Click to view linked

  Posted by MGN on 10/05/10 08:52 AM

Maybe China will buy out all the big players with US dollars and then sell all their US dollar dept right afterwards.

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