News & Analysis
Obama Sets Sights on Merging Mexico and U.S.?
After more than a year of campaigning, President Obama (left) finally won much-needed and long-overdue changes to our health care system. Achieving what four other presidents could not, Obama broke through the political impasse to obtain health care coverage for the vast majority of uninsured Americans. The president now needs to take this mandate and act quickly on what should be the next major item on his domestic agenda: modernizing our immigration system. Comprehensive immigration reform requires a balanced and measured approach that includes a broad legalization component, a foreign policy that promotes meaningful and equitable economic development in the region, and humane enforcement measures that strengthen, rather than divide, local communities. Any comprehensive immigration reform bill thus must hold as its centerpiece a fair and practicable legalization plan that recognizes and respects the diversity of our communities. The clearest option would be granting undocumented immigrants, including LGBT domestic partners, broad access to permanent resident status so they could work and travel freely. It is only when we remove the fear of deportation that we truly remove the burden of second-class citizenship. While the word "amnesty" is politically unpopular in some circles, its true meaning is reprieve or absolution. Amnesty does not mean a free ride, as people must still pay fines, wait their turn in line and comply with whatever new rules are developed. – SFGate.com
Dominant Social Theme: Painting the canvas of future greatness. The great uniters will unite all.
Free-Market Analysis: This article is the story of a canvas now being painted. It may even end up with a portrait of an international couple being married. But it is not a pretty picture by any means. Investors with holdings in the United States – dollars, bonds and stocks – will have to beware of what is coming. Some of the largest markets in the world could be further destabilized in the near or fairly-near future.
The problems have to do with the Obama administration's focus on upcoming legislation. While financial reform is an interesting topic, US President Barack Obama and those behind his administration are aiming, in our estimation, at a bigger prize – immigration reform. They seem to want to introduce such legislation soon, and while it may not go anywhere after a divisive health care debate, we think that it will come back again and again, as it is important to a larger agenda. This article will concentrate on immigration reform and its eventual ramifications, financial and otherwise.
To start, one has to grant continuity between this administration and the last (a Republican one) and grant also that each party is a continuation of the other. The players behind the scenes are a power elite that continually seeks further consolidation and concentration of wealth (in its hands) at the expense of the middle class and other influential factions of a participatory democracy.
If one does grant this, the picture steadily reveals itself, even if it is not finished. What one sees, however, if one looks hard, is a potential finished work that will be one of amazing trickery and false perceptions. Yet, it is not a new effort. In fact, it's been going on for decades, but the health care bill was doubtless a major advance. Here's a Fox News story that reveals more of the big picture:
Immigration Reform Could KO Health Care ... While Congress voted to overhaul U.S. health care and provide universal coverage, 15 percent of America's uninsured population remains uncovered and unaddressed: illegal immigrants. Democrats are expected to introduce comprehensive immigration reform legislation this spring, and when they do, health care costs will once again be front and center. Under the new law just passed, illegal immigrants are not entitled to health care. That means undocumented workers will continue to get care the way they always have, showing up at county clinics and hospitals for emergency treatment. According to cost estimates submitted by various states, that costs taxpayers and ratepayers about $4.3 billion a year.
However, according to the conservative-leaning Center for Immigration Studies, that number would spike from $10 billion to $30 billion annually under immigration reform. ... But cost isn't the only issue. Enrolling illegal immigrants into the new system will improve health outcomes. Dr. Steven Wallace of the UCLA Center for Health Policy Research says including undocumented workers in the health care overhaul makes sense. "In the long term, the point is to make sure all Americans who are living here and working here have access to health care," he says. "It is simpler and therefore more efficient if you simply say, everybody who works gets health insurance. Everybody who has a low income, we will help you and we move forward. People don't come to the U.S. for health care, they come to work."
Now, please follow us. It's not really hard to see completion. The general thrust of the new legislation is that all Americans must be insured under the new health care plan or pay a fine. There are various ways that Americans can gain health care, and various subsidies as well. Bottom line, with Americans paying more and more for health care, there will be increased pressure to rein in illegal aliens and to make sure that immigrants not in the US legally are not taking advantage of US health care.
And this is impossible.
And because enforcement is – and will be – impossible, the alternative will eventually make its way to the fore. Yes, you've figured it out. There will be pressure to make illegal immigrants "legal" via some sort of guest worker or citizenship program. Of course, one might think that such predictions are a leap of faith – and that perhaps the illegal immigration from Mexico may become less of an issue over time. But ... really? It's been going on for decades. And finally, it's destabilizing a whole country, and sending even more Mexicans across the border. Here's a letter that appeared in the Wall Street Journal on the subject recently:
Mary O'Grady's March 22 Americas column "The War on Drugs Is Doomed" is one of the best pieces ever written on the connection between U.S. drug policy and drug violence in Mexico. I just hope it can inform public policy discussions. I am on the City Council of El Paso, Texas, across the border from Ciudad Juarez, where more than 5,000 people have been killed since President Calderón was elected. We are living the drug war, and it has been disastrous for our community. In addition to bearing witness to the horrific killings of men, women and children in our sister city, it has become very clear to us that the failure of Juarez portends the failure of El Paso.
Juarenses spend more than $1.4 billion in our economy every year; more than $51 billion in U.S./Mexico trade passes through El Paso/Juarez ports of entry annually (almost 20% of trade between the two countries); Juarez economic activity is responsible for 60,000 jobs in El Paso; and, as you might imagine, family, business and other relationships extend over the border and are the basis of much of the economic and cultural success that we enjoy.
It is clearly in our interest to find a solution to this drug violence, and it is clear that central to that solution is acknowledging the role of drug consumption and drug prohibition in the U.S. Ms. O'Grady has done an outstanding job through her columns in educating the public on the connection between drug consumption, drug prohibition and drug violence. Communities like ours are dependent on a better understanding and eventual action by our national elected leaders.
The article by Mary O'Grady merely pointed out that the huge demand for drugs in the United States, combined with the perpetual war on supply was providing a logical outcome – higher prices and involvement by the most violent types in society since criminal activity of this sort attracts and begets violence.
In fact, we can see how the composition unfolds – Mexicans are being harried out of their country by American drug policies. And now a health care plan has been put into effect that will inevitably add to the attractiveness of America for Mexicans who want to work in a more prosperous and less violent environment.
The pressure to extend health care privileges to Mexicans and others in America illegally will grow inexorably. And it will be used as a lever to pry apart the opposition to a de-facto merger between the two countries. Again, this is no surprise. The Bush administration gave this sort of effort a push toward the end of the George Bush's last term. The administration wanted a kind of amnesty and other legal affirmations that would essentially have provided guest worker status to Mexicans – and begun the process as well (in earnest) of harmonizing American and Mexican laws.
One may choose to disbelieve all this of course. Perhaps it is impossible that Mexicans would EVER consent to such a union – so deep does the antipathy run. (Nonetheless, Bush worked on some secret and surprising treaties in his day – reported after the fact – that included both Canada and Mexico.) But, heck, it is a far-out idea, and perhaps there is no elite plan to merge Mexico, Canada and the United States, only paranoia and delusions.
And yet ... in addition to extant treaties drawing the three countries ever close, such a plan has been documented on the Internet in the 2000s by numerous alternative blog sites and news organizations. The idea, according to these reports, is to divide the world into currency blocs to make currencies more easily manipulated and central banks even more powerful. The EU is already one such bloc and Canada, Mexico and the United States are supposedly to be the foundation of another.
When one looks at the legislation that the Obama administration has in mind, it is obvious that a tighter bond is being created between Mexicans and Americans. The wedding has not been formally announced (and perhaps won't be for decades) but the union is becoming more realistic.
The health care bill itself, if read closely, seems to give the federal government fairly substantial additional powers, including massive IRS oversight. But more than that, the bill will probably drive many more Americans, and American businesses, into bankruptcy, further exacerbating America's financial dilemmas. Over time, then, the "immigration reform" would be proposed as a panacea and a closer union with Mexico (and then eventually Canada might also be proposed) as a means for America to detach itself from looming financial calamity and endless and increased misery.
Conclusion: The Daily Bell is devoted to the analysis of dominant social themes from a free-market thinking perspective. Health care itself will only be one lever. Economic dislocation, bankruptcy – personal and corporate – and other unpleasantness emerging from the health care reform package should prove useful as well. Eventually, health care would be part of an argument for further official interactions with Mexico, and perhaps Canada. This seems to be a potential scenario based on power elite ambitions as we understand them. If this scenario, presented above by the San Francisco Gate, is seen to have merit, then the ramifications from a sociopolitical and economic/investment perspective are dramatic and significant.
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Posted by Hikari on 06/06/10 11:09 PM
Hi there,
I have read your article, as well as the replies made by other readers. I though that I should share my two cents from a Mexican perspective to balance things out, so here I go.
Let me start by making some statements here:
1) Not all Mexican are the same.
2) Most Mexicans living in Mexico are educated and law abiding.
3) At least half the population already speak English
4) American opinion on Mexican related subjects is based on fear mongering
5) Mexican opinion on US opinion is based on xenophobia
6) Media makes crime in Mexico look much worse than what it really is. (Except for the war on drugs part which is recent)
7) The real enemy here is poverty on one side and misinformation on both sides
8) Please remember that we, Mexican, also have rednecks and we don't like them.
9) Many US criminals move to Mexico
10) The current US immigration system makes it too hard for the good Mexican to relate with the US even to visit, and near impossible to be legal. At the same time it encourages illegal immigration and invites the bad guys to swarm in the border.
I do not consider that Mexico and US should merge any time soon, however I believe that an open border is eventually going to happen, either we like it or not, and this will happen not because of the Illuminati or China or who knows what, it is going to happen simply because of socioeconomic dynamics. You can come here and see people waving American flags already, or wearing t-shirts with the US flag, I have even seen confederate flags. We just need to make people from both countries to relax and think.
Let me please apologize in the name of all those Mexican who go there (legal or not) with an attitude of superiority and act irrespective, and for the welfare sponges. But not all of us are the same, I can tell from my personal perspective only that 3/4 of them are actually hard working and law abiding people who have never used welfare and don't want to conquer the lands back or any crazy stuff like that.
Please relax everyone, I think that the solution is not so hard. The solution relies on the media and the public opinion. Just go ask for the US and Mexican governments to get an agreement with the media to turn their content towards each other country into a mutual, honest, understanding and respectful relationship. If this is allocated, believe me that the problems related to illegals would be quite small. America also needs to reform the welfare system anyway, no more welfare sponges, legal or illegal, white or brown.
Second step is to indeed close the border BUT at the same time make possible to have a legal transit among both countries, if honest people can cross legally the only ones crossing illegally would be the bad guys, get it? So that we can easily target and eradicate the bad guys on either side.
About the war on drugs... there is not going to be a solution unless we can get a combined military action, and to do so, we need to convince Mexican opinion that this is not an intervention or invasion, for which the media has to work once again. Not by means of lies but by means of mutual understanding and appreciation.
Next we need to synchronize policies and laws, easy actually.
Lastly we already have a bunch of American companies in Mexico, opening the border would not really change things a lot on either country when it comes to work, both countries share the same -overall- rate of unemployment, around 4%. we just need to make sure that nobody is hired under the table anywhere, and that healthcare system is based on "If you work you have healthcare, if you don't... you don't" we already have such system and although it is not perfect, it is cheap to pay for the citizen and the government burden is decent. We have welfare free medical system too, and it is not based on taxes.
Conclusion:
A full merge is undesirable and impossible on the short term, but there is many things that we can do and must do to make the situation work in the mid and long term. Simply close the border and deport everyone won't fix anything on either side, and would only trigger an economical and security crisis on both sides. It requires a lot of work but things can be done.
Reply from The Daily Bell
Thank you for a most thoughtful post. We disagree with portions of it but appreciate another voice that speaks up on behalf of a Mexican viewpoint.
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Posted by Herbert Haemmer on 03/30/10 09:55 PM
There are some smart people with good common sense in your feedback. The one I agree with most is Darryl. I came here 45 years ago, legally I might add, and so did my wife 37 years ago. We brought talent and knowlegde, and supported this country through tourism, while living and working overseas, sending thousands of foreigners to this great land, leaving their tourist dollars in the USA.
What's happening now is simply despicable. I have read about the "Amero" theory last year, and seeing what Europe is now going through with the Euro, and the member countries on the brink of default, I don't see much realism in the creation of an Amero, with states like CA, NY, NJ going soon over the edge, unless the Feds will bail them out too.
Darryl has got it right: 'Nasty Stretch Pelosi' and Obozo have only one goal in mind, and that is to win over twelve or more million of illegals by offering them U.S. citizenship on the double. These new citizens will look kindly upon Obozo and his Chicago Mafia, and reward him with the crown once again.
These folks won't need to be manipulated like the rest of us. They will gratefully provide the needed majority of votes to get "His Majesty" reelected for a second term and to extend the reign of the ugly "Queen of America". Anyone who cannot see this clearly is living on a different planet! It's coming as fast as the Washington morons can cram this one down our throats, just like they did with the health care bill. It should be no problem, now that they have a little experience how to screw their fellow Americans!
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Posted by Ed on 03/30/10 12:26 AM
"Canada counts on the U.S. for something around 3/4 (or more) of the trade that supports their socialized health care system.
"____Don't worry, 38 States - or 50 of US exports, - rely on Canada ( with a population one thousand percent smaller ) as their largest export consumer.
We'll support your socialized health care, like we support your current lifestyle. And remember, say NO to deep integration NAU! I'll stand with you on it all the way, Click to view linkeers.
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Posted by Diana Fabianes Les on 03/30/10 12:01 AM
Many great comments and points of views; here's mine out just of the blue:I think Mexicans need to fix their problemas at home and stop going to the United States asking for rights where they do NOT have have them (how embarrassing).
They act like the United States needs to take care of them because daddy Mexico will not hear them out. They are pessimistic, lazy and they usually like the easy way out and do not want to work hard and revolt againt that so-called government.
Send them back where they came from and before you drop them off, tell them to go whine and cry somewhere else and fix their problems at home. I say all this because I am Mexican living in Mexico and I hate to be the only one (in my country at least) wanting to do something about all this.
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Posted by Ed on 03/29/10 11:59 PM
We agree with you about the de facto aspects of a merger. But a "formal" merger - harmonizing of all laws and defense issues - is a much different thing. It could happen fairly quickly (we didn't rule it out) but Canadian sentiment (and Mexican) is very anti-American despite the commonality of trade, etc.___
I'll buy your psuedo-term "anti american" if you admit your opposition to a merger is "anti Canadian".
If so, you should be ashamed, right? Cheers.
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Posted by Ed on 03/29/10 11:55 PM
"Yes this is a social theme it's correct name is SOCIALISM and has effectively bankrupted every country it has been tried"____Really?
You better distill your definitions of socialism, as they tend to change as your argument finds convenient: Canada, cited here frequently, is the only country to run either federal surpluses or balances out of all the G8 countries in almost perpetuity, excluding the chill from the recent recession.
It has had not a single bank collapse, and in fact is touted as having the most stable banking system in the world. The Canadian dollar is expected to be 10 above par with the USD within months.
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Posted by Richard Lamb on 03/29/10 10:11 PM
Several items. No doubt your Power Elite stands behind blocking legalizing drugs. Think what peace and tranquility could occur with drugs off the street. The end of wars throughout the world.A point about health care. The pharmaceutical industry is mostly a fraud. Health industry drugs dont cure health problems, only the body can cure itself and it requires the proper nutrition.
Drugs only modify symptons.Finally I have come to think the perceptions of the people, who think this debt ridden world can go on indefinitely,will be proven wrong, and the economy and finances will come crashing down about us--soon.
WE AREN'T WELL PREPARED FOR THIS.
Reply from The Daily Bell
"Our" power elite?
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Posted by Concerned Citizen on 03/29/10 10:04 PM
I believe the solution to this problem is one word. IMPEACHMENT
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Posted by June on 03/29/10 08:34 PM
Pay fines? Go to the end of the line? Okay, illegals, that'll be five bucks and wait on the corner. What drivel our leaders are spouting! It will happen just like Obamacare. No matter what we say, they will do just as they d--n well please.
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Posted by M. Fox on 03/29/10 08:28 PM
To understand Obama/Bush/elite, people must understand public education. Contact Eagle Forum for information. You think all the above is bad, wait until they're through with our kids!
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Posted by JOEINTEXAS on 03/29/10 06:06 PM
As a born and raised Texan, I have been on the frontline of this debate, having a horse in the race as it were.
1st: I am not an uneducated redneck nor do I actually ride a horse, as many have a bad view of Texans. My family came here LEGALLY. I am 4th generation to be in the military, and now work in the security field. There is a mass exodus to the US. We don't want to be Mexico, but our leaders feel like they know what is best for us. This WILL come back on them.
2nd: I am not racist toward folks of hispanic heritage. My best friend and numerous girlfriends are hispanic. No one, even them, wants to be a North American Union. If Mexicans don't like or cannot prosper under their govt, they need to change it. We, Americans, have spilled way too much blood for our own freedom to give it to those who won't get it themselves.
In addition, a majority of crimes committed in Texas, Arizona, and New Mexico are committed by folks of hispanic heritage. Don't believe me, Google crime stats per the Dept of Justice. See: Arizona rancher found shot to death (along with his dog) yesterday. He was well know for putting watering stations on his property so the "immigrants" would not die of dehydration on their journey. He tried to help and got killed for it. Not right! You only have farmers in Texas armed to the teeth because they are scared u-know-whatless to walk their property.
3rd and Last: Those who would discount the ideas in this article shall do so at their own peril. There is a core set of values that most people in the US share, one of which is our sovereignty. You cannot tell Americans to merge with Canada or Mexico, so you starve Americans and take away what they love to force them.
Reply from The Daily Bell
Thank you for your eloquence. T
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Posted by Diane on 03/29/10 05:48 PM
You mean Obama can't figure out why Mexicans risk their lives and kill American citizens to get here? Obama get your head out ok?
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Posted by The Gimlet Eye on 03/29/10 05:44 PM
I think you have unlocked the puzzle and understood what these people are all about. Everything seems to fit. I cannot believe that Obama or any other president will accomplish this, however. I think there would be a revolution or a coup before that happens.
Again, it's mostly the Internet which has stoked the fires against the New World Order and its "power elite." The anti-New World Order thinkers are growing every day.
Perhaps the elite will use force against us. I don't what they are going to do. But I just don't think it will fly. If force is used, there are probably going to be some deserters to our side. There must be whispering already among them. Anybody want to guess what the soldiers are saying?
Click to view link
Reply from The Daily Bell
Force won't help. It never solves anything. Peaceable protest is the correct methodology. We do not endorse violence of any kind. Thanks for the link.
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Posted by Crs956 on 03/29/10 04:22 PM
I live right and have been following these events for almost 20 years. Yes, the Daily Bell is correct. You can already see it here locally where mexican business are given preferential treatment (ok if they bend the rules) to be able to settle here and prosper.
The reason for the economic dislocation is to water down the differences between american small business and the ever-incompetent mexican business.
I am at a university where just a couple of days ago they had a conference between us and mexican counterparts of how to integrate commercially and culturally called vision 2040. It is happening folks, they try to hide it but to no avail.
I see the trend so clear. It is part of a bigger plan whether you believe it or not.
Reply from The Daily Bell
Vision 2040! Wow, interesting. These memes are like little energizer bunnies. They don't stop.
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Posted by M Kithcart on 03/29/10 04:16 PM
Agreed, Obama is the "closer" for the "New World Order" and the USDollar WILL / must be eliminated to accomplish their goal long term.
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Posted by Bobby on 03/29/10 04:15 PM
Can you imagine, Mr. and Mrs. American citizen, what the United States would be like if the border with Mexico was totally thrown open?! We would have the same criminality that Mexico has, Keep fooling around, voting for treasonous people like John McClown, and Pansy Graham, and we should be like Mexico in no time flat.
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Posted by Michael Ponzani on 03/29/10 03:50 PM
Phillip Dru: Administrator
Reply from The Daily Bell
OK, thanks. Great book in a bad way.
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Posted by MetaCynic on 03/29/10 03:48 PM
In order to keep the Social Security/Medicare Ponzi scheme going a while longer, the U.S. has no choice but to open its borders to Mexico and to grant amnesty to current illegals. That way they can be put on payrolls to have desperately needed taxes withheld.
Social Security and Medicare are pay as you go operations - all contributions including trust funds are immediately spent. Retirees benefits are paid out of the contributions of current workers.
Since the pool of consuming retirees is growing faster than the pool of taxpaying workers, one, some or all of the following must be enacted: Benefits must be cut; taxes must be increased; retirement must be postponed; sick retirees must be killed by ObamaCare; the pool of taxpaying workers must be increased.
The latter is perhaps the least controversial. More taxpaying Latinos to support the hated retired Gringos! Europe is experiencing an even worse problem. Even with the rapidly growing Muslim component, the population of Europe is stagnant. In another generation when Muslims constitute a majority throughout Europe, they will vote to pull the plug on retired Infidels! Such is the coming fate of those who demand to be taken care of by government.
Reply from The Daily Bell
Interesting points, thanks.
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Posted by C Oswin on 03/29/10 03:01 PM
There have been a hundred wealthy families ruling Mexico for the past 400 years. They have kept the population uneducated and unarmed. Their goal is to maintain their wealth and power by avoiding any need to worry about competition from the next generations real entrepreneurs.
Is it any wonder the elite in America and around the world envy this system. In their own eyes America would not be America without their families wealthy and in power. The european aristocracy was sold to the public by the church under the name of manifest destiny (a god given right to rule). I don't think this will work in today's world.
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