Gold investors increased their holdings of bullion at a major dealer by more than 40% in the first six months of the year. BullionVault, which says it looks after more gold than many of the world's central banks, reported 43% growth in its clients' physical holdings of the metal in the first half to more than 18 tonnes or $553m worth. The addition of almost 5.5 tonnes, or $166m worth, was almost twice the growth in BullionVault's clients' holdings in the same period last year and was equivalent to 70% of the growth seen over the whole of 2008. Adrian Ash of BullionVault said: "While politicians argue over 'green shoots' in the economy, the number of private individuals buying physical gold continues to grow. – Telegraph
Dominant Social Theme: An uptick but not a trend?
Free-Market Analysis: This is why gold bugs are so suspicious of the larger marts. Gold has been moving up and down in a mostly constrained trading range for 2009, and even before. At the same time, there have been plenty of scattered reports of significant scarcity of gold and silver -- even at government mints. And there have been plenty of reports of concentrated gold and silver buying, not just in the West but in India and in the East as well.
And now comes this report by a major bullion dealer saying that physical holdings of gold have grown by half in the past six months. Now it could be that BullionVault is experiencing unprecedented growth, but why should BullionVault's customers be so much more aggressive than the rest of the gold-buying public? In fact, BullionVault's experience sees to jibe with other apocryphal statements about gold and silver buying. We checked in with a familiar bullion expert to Daily Bell readers, Pat Gorman, based in Arizona, and he confirmed the same sort of statistics. The public is buying lots of precious metals – and has no intention, seemingly, of dumping them.
Contrast this to the mainstream media statements about gold and silver. Central banks are constantly threatening to sell gold for a variety of reasons – sometimes almost any reason will seemingly do. The International Monetary Fund recently expressed its determination to sell tons of gold so that it would be better able to hand out more paper money. (We bet the countries in question would happily take the hard stuff.)
It does seem from time to time that the prices of money metals are being suppressed by a financial establishment that is determined to maintain a money-printing franchise. No different in many ways, at least in our humble opinion, from the determination of others in the business who wish to keep their games alive. Madoff comes to mind. There is in fact a good deal of direct evidence that this is so, thanks to such organizations as GATA -- which has painstakingly put together a fairly expansive documentation of the flim-flammery and how it occurs.
Our position, however, has more to do with practicality (though we know where the fingers point.) Our idea is that markets cannot be contravened. Over time, the market will get to where it is going because, contrary to efforts that assume the opposite, the human race is not THAT malleable. The invisible hand is not something with which you want to arm wrestle. It always wins, though the timeline is unpredictable.
Conclusion: We have read in the past few months literally thousands of articles about the global stock market renaissance, one we think is vastly overstated. At the same time, we have read relatively few articles about the continued demand for money metals as the "correction" and the "recovery" grind their way forward. It is almost enough to put one off reading the mainstream media. One might, in fact, wish to found a publication that will help act as a corrective. Call it The Daily Bell – live from Galt's Gulch.
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Posted by Obama-nut on 7/3/2009 4:06:12 AM
Agreed! It seems almost as if President Obama and his administration are willfully damaging the economy with socialist practices and legislation. America will continue in its misery even as the political class is empowered. What a world.
Reply from the Daily Bell:
Well put, though hopefully your perceptions -- and ours -- shall eventually be proven wrong.
Posted by Stanley Hobish on 7/3/2009 8:29:47 AM
I feel you are doing a dis-service to the efforts of our president and the program for economic recovery he and the Fed are trying make work. I see their program as the only game in town and I support it entirely. Investors running to gold to protect their assets instead of investing in the limitless future of our glorious country country are ruining the chance for success our present leadership is offering.
I for one would like to see gold de-monetized and treated as only the commodity it truly is. I would like to see the Fed and those who own and control it push the futures market in gold down to where it no longer constitutes a threat to the recovery plans of the present administration.
Reply from the Daily Bell:
Gold was de-monetized back in the 1930s.
Posted by Adam England on 7/3/2009 10:36:17 AM
In Friday's article, "Obama calls jobs losses 'sobering,' urges innovation," The Daily Bell concluded by saying an L-shaped recovery may be desired by the monetary elite, because "If one wants to create new currencies, industries and even nations... a dumbed-down, indebted and miserable population is indeed likely preferable.
Of course, even within this sort of speculative framework, not everything will be controllable. Gold and silver will go their own way..." I agree with this statement. But as long as we're delving into conspiratorial thoughts (they are the most fun, let's be honest), what about this scenario: Once new currencies are devised, nations are stitched together, and financial regulations and reporting technologies are strengthened, is it not possible that Gold and Silver and other precious metals will be rendered, by diktat, illegal for anyone but central banks to use in trade or exchange of any kind (and if not illegal, at least highly-regulated and heavily-taxed).
In other words, who's to say that all our gold and silver bullion can't be rendered "barbarous relics" by the sheer power of the Super State? Is the maxim, "He who has the gold makes the rules" out of touch with the plans of the Elite? Maybe it should be, "He who makes the rules bans the gold." Possible?
Reply from the Daily Bell:
Anything is possible in this wacky new century, yes?
Posted by Gary J. Mallast on 7/3/2009 11:03:35 AM
This is the best and saddest short analysis of what is happening. Of course, it is strangely Keynsian for you to be saying the problem is the price of MONEY being fixed. MONEY should be fixed relative to an objective standard such as a particular weight and fineness of gold as was done in the Gold Standard Act of 1900 and The Resumption Act of 1875.
Just as the inch, the meter, the pound, the gram, the Newton, the Watt, etc. are fixed according to a constant physical standard allowing both honest trade and rational science. What the Central Bankers are trying to fix, following the lead of socialist monetary crank Pierre Joseph Proudhon, is the price of interest and at well-bellow market rates. They are trying to drive it down by the printing press—by flooding the credit markets with cash out of thin air.
At any rate, I need a job badly and Michigan just lost another 23,000 last month.
Reply from the Daily Bell:
Thank you, Mr. Mallast, for your erudite perspective - and good luck to you.
Posted by Kaydell C Bowles on 7/3/2009 11:54:48 AM
Old failing business is in the way? Could you elaborate on why? The old business failed because the politicans could not afford to give up the union so begin afresh and the new business rewarded the Unions but to hell with the investors getting pennies on the dollar and the union getting about 20% of the old company. The government mandating saftey policies, gas mileage, off-gases and causing 37 different blends of gasolines evidently had no effect on the old business. The plain cause of the failure was the greed, power and corruption of the political parties and the me first syndrome.
Reply from the Daily Bell:
Good points.
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